In the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff on May 26, trader consensus prices Attorney General Ken Paxton as the frontrunner at 60% implied probability over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 40%, propelled by recent independent polls such as Texas Public Opinion Research (April 6-7, LV) showing Paxton ahead 48-40 among likely GOP voters. After neither reached a majority in the record $110 million March 3 primary—despite heavy anti-Paxton spending by establishment groups—Paxton's base support on border security and conservative priorities, plus CPAC's endorsement, has widened his polling edge. Cornyn counters with incumbency, strong fundraising, and senior voter leads, but a prospective Trump endorsement remains a pivotal uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGłówny zwycięzca Senatu Republiki Teksasu
Główny zwycięzca Senatu Republiki Teksasu
Ken Paxton 60%
John Cornyn 40%
Dawn Buckingham <1%
Wesley Hunt <1%
$15,555,801 Wol.
$15,555,801 Wol.
May 26, 2026
Ken Paxton
60%
John Cornyn
40%
Dawn Buckingham
<1%
Wesley Hunt
<1%
Beth Van Duyne
<1%
Ken Paxton 60%
John Cornyn 40%
Dawn Buckingham <1%
Wesley Hunt <1%
$15,555,801 Wol.
$15,555,801 Wol.
May 26, 2026
Ken Paxton
$4,245,162 Wol.
60%
John Cornyn
$3,163,476 Wol.
40%
Dawn Buckingham
$925,930 Wol.
<1%
Wesley Hunt
$1,793,738 Wol.
<1%
Beth Van Duyne
$5,427,496 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
In the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff on May 26, trader consensus prices Attorney General Ken Paxton as the frontrunner at 60% implied probability over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 40%, propelled by recent independent polls such as Texas Public Opinion Research (April 6-7, LV) showing Paxton ahead 48-40 among likely GOP voters. After neither reached a majority in the record $110 million March 3 primary—despite heavy anti-Paxton spending by establishment groups—Paxton's base support on border security and conservative priorities, plus CPAC's endorsement, has widened his polling edge. Cornyn counters with incumbency, strong fundraising, and senior voter leads, but a prospective Trump endorsement remains a pivotal uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,555,801Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
In the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff on May 26, trader consensus prices Attorney General Ken Paxton as the frontrunner at 60% implied probability over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 40%, propelled by recent independent polls such as Texas Public Opinion Research (April 6-7, LV) showing Paxton ahead 48-40 among likely GOP voters. After neither reached a majority in the record $110 million March 3 primary—despite heavy anti-Paxton spending by establishment groups—Paxton's base support on border security and conservative priorities, plus CPAC's endorsement, has widened his polling edge. Cornyn counters with incumbency, strong fundraising, and senior voter leads, but a prospective Trump endorsement remains a pivotal uncertainty.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Wolumen
$15,555,801Data zakończenia
May 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 10, 2025, 5:11 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff on May 26, trader consensus prices Attorney General Ken Paxton as the frontrunner at 60% implied probability over incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 40%, propelled by recent independent polls such as Texas Public Opinion Research (April 6-7, LV) showing Paxton ahead 48-40 among likely GOP voters. After neither reached a majority in the record $110 million March 3 primary—despite heavy anti-Paxton spending by establishment groups—Paxton's base support on border security and conservative priorities, plus CPAC's endorsement, has widened his polling edge. Cornyn counters with incumbency, strong fundraising, and senior voter leads, but a prospective Trump endorsement remains a pivotal uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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