Florida's Republican tilt in statewide races, combined with Byron Donalds securing the GOP nomination in the August primary and endorsements from President Trump and outgoing Governor Ron DeSantis, underpins trader consensus favoring him over Democrat David Jolly. The state has not elected a Democratic governor in over three decades, and Republicans hold a substantial voter registration edge. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one September survey giving Jolly a narrow lead within the margin of error while aggregates indicate a small Donalds advantage. Donalds has emphasized affordability and insurance reforms through new ads, while Jolly has focused on economic critiques of long-term Republican control. Prediction markets have held steady despite the polling volatility, reflecting traders' weighting of structural factors and historical patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$60,241 Wol.
$60,241 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
82%
David Jolly (D)
19%
$60,241 Wol.
$60,241 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Byron Donalds (R)
$28,702 Wol.
82%
David Jolly (D)
$31,538 Wol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt in statewide races, combined with Byron Donalds securing the GOP nomination in the August primary and endorsements from President Trump and outgoing Governor Ron DeSantis, underpins trader consensus favoring him over Democrat David Jolly. The state has not elected a Democratic governor in over three decades, and Republicans hold a substantial voter registration edge. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one September survey giving Jolly a narrow lead within the margin of error while aggregates indicate a small Donalds advantage. Donalds has emphasized affordability and insurance reforms through new ads, while Jolly has focused on economic critiques of long-term Republican control. Prediction markets have held steady despite the polling volatility, reflecting traders' weighting of structural factors and historical patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$60,241Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt in statewide races, combined with Byron Donalds securing the GOP nomination in the August primary and endorsements from President Trump and outgoing Governor Ron DeSantis, underpins trader consensus favoring him over Democrat David Jolly. The state has not elected a Democratic governor in over three decades, and Republicans hold a substantial voter registration edge. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one September survey giving Jolly a narrow lead within the margin of error while aggregates indicate a small Donalds advantage. Donalds has emphasized affordability and insurance reforms through new ads, while Jolly has focused on economic critiques of long-term Republican control. Prediction markets have held steady despite the polling volatility, reflecting traders' weighting of structural factors and historical patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$60,241Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican tilt in statewide races, combined with Byron Donalds securing the GOP nomination in the August primary and endorsements from President Trump and outgoing Governor Ron DeSantis, underpins trader consensus favoring him over Democrat David Jolly. The state has not elected a Democratic governor in over three decades, and Republicans hold a substantial voter registration edge. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one September survey giving Jolly a narrow lead within the margin of error while aggregates indicate a small Donalds advantage. Donalds has emphasized affordability and insurance reforms through new ads, while Jolly has focused on economic critiques of long-term Republican control. Prediction markets have held steady despite the polling volatility, reflecting traders' weighting of structural factors and historical patterns ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania