With Gov. Ron DeSantis term-limited, Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race favors Republicans at 73% trader consensus, driven by Rep. Byron Donalds' commanding lead in the GOP primary per an early April Emerson College poll (46% support) amid President Trump's endorsement and a crowded field including Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and Speaker Paul Renner. Recent general election matchups show Donalds ahead of Democrat David Jolly (44%-39%), bolstered by Republicans' voter registration advantage and the state's rightward shift since 2022. Tightening polls from Democratic firms highlight uncertainty, but GOP primary consolidation and historical base rates in red-leaning battlegrounds sustain the edge ahead of the August primaries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlorida Governor Election Winner
Florida Governor Election Winner
$14,209 Wol.
$14,209 Wol.

Republican
73%

Democrat
27%
$14,209 Wol.
$14,209 Wol.

Republican
73%

Democrat
27%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Gov. Ron DeSantis term-limited, Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race favors Republicans at 73% trader consensus, driven by Rep. Byron Donalds' commanding lead in the GOP primary per an early April Emerson College poll (46% support) amid President Trump's endorsement and a crowded field including Lt. Gov. Jay Collins and Speaker Paul Renner. Recent general election matchups show Donalds ahead of Democrat David Jolly (44%-39%), bolstered by Republicans' voter registration advantage and the state's rightward shift since 2022. Tightening polls from Democratic firms highlight uncertainty, but GOP primary consolidation and historical base rates in red-leaning battlegrounds sustain the edge ahead of the August primaries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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