Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
May 1 2026
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather than a leadership bid
Apr 15 2026
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in
László Toroczkai dips to 0%3%
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in contention for the premiership
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary elections held; Tisza Party wins but Péter Magyar confirmed as Prime Minister, not Kapitány
Following the elections, Péter Magyar was officially appointed Prime Minister, confirming that Kapitány would not assume the premiership, solidifying the zero
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary election results show Péter Magyar’s Tisza Party winning a landslide;
Viktor Orbán plunges to 0%37%
Orbán concedes defeat and congratulates his rival on live TV
Apr 12 2026
Péter Magyar wins a landslide victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16 years in power;
Viktor Orbán dips to 0%4%
Orbán concedes defeat by phone
Apr 12 2026
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the premiership himself
Mar 20 2026
Péter Magyar announces Kapitány will serve as Minister of Economy and Energetics in the prospective Tisza government
István Kapitány dips to 0%1%
Despite the ministerial appointment announcement, market confidence in Kapitány becoming Prime Minister diminished, as he was designated for a ministerial role rather than the premiership, leading to a collapse in his market
Mar 6 2026
Serbian police seize 4 kg of explosives near the TurkStream pipeline;
Viktor Orbán dips to 34%3%
Orbán and Foreign Minister Szijjártó blame Ukraine, but the timing is seen as a last‑minute smear, causing a modest
Feb 11 2026
Media scrutiny highlights Kapitány’s controversial past with Shell’s operations in Nigeria and environmental criticisms
István Kapitány dips to 3%2%
Reports surfaced detailing Kapitány’s involvement in Shell’s projects in Nigeria’s Niger Delta during the 1990s, including links to environmental damage and the repression of activists, which cast doubts on his political viability and ethics.
Jan 15 2026
István Kapitány appointed economic advisor to Péter Magyar and the Tisza Party ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections
István Kapitány rises to 5%4%
Kapitány, former Shell Global Executive Vice President, joined the Tisza Party as chief economic and energy expert, signaling his entry into politics and raising his profile as a potential candidate in the upcoming elections.
Oct 16 2025
Orbán announces preparations for a 2025 Russia‑U.S.
summit after a phone call with Donald Trump, drawing backlash over his Russia‑friendly stance
Sep 1 2025
Toroczkai held his final campaign rally in Budapest;
László Toroczkai dips to 0%1%
media coverage noted his party’s polling at 4‑5 % and the likelihood of missing the parliamentary threshold
Aug 20 2025
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing
Péter Magyar rises to 57%3%
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing opposition momentum
Aug 13 2025
| Russian SVR accuses EU of targeting Hungary;
Péter Magyar rises to 56%1%
Magyar publicly rebuffs Russian interference, boosting his anti‑foreign‑influence image |
Jul 24 2025
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our
László Toroczkai plunges to 1%49%
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our Homeland Movement
May 9 2025
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian
Péter Magyar rises to 54%4%
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian minority community
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wynik zaproponowany: Nie
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: Nie
Péter Magyar's swearing-in as Hungary's prime minister on May 9, 2026, following his Tisza party's supermajority victory (141 seats) in the April 12 parliamentary election, has driven trader consensus to 100% certainty on Polymarket. This landslide ousted Viktor Orbán after 16 years, propelled by voter backlash against economic woes, corruption allegations, and EU tensions, enabling swift National Assembly convening and government formation within constitutional timelines. With Tisza's dominance securing legislative control, challenges like a no-confidence vote or resignation appear remote absent extraordinary developments such as health crises, scandals, or legal challenges to the election results. Upcoming cabinet confirmations and policy rollout could further solidify his position.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
May 1 2026
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather
Toroczkai accuses Prime‑Minister‑designate Magyar Péter of nepotism after the latter appoints his brother‑in‑law as justice minister, underscoring Toroczkai’s opposition rather than a leadership bid
Apr 15 2026
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in
László Toroczkai dips to 0%3%
After the election, Toroczkai reacted negatively to the results and announced he would appeal the vote count to the European Court of Human Rights, confirming he was not in contention for the premiership
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary elections held; Tisza Party wins but Péter Magyar confirmed as Prime Minister, not Kapitány
Following the elections, Péter Magyar was officially appointed Prime Minister, confirming that Kapitány would not assume the premiership, solidifying the zero
Apr 12 2026
Hungarian parliamentary election results show Péter Magyar’s Tisza Party winning a landslide;
Viktor Orbán plunges to 0%37%
Orbán concedes defeat and congratulates his rival on live TV
Apr 12 2026
Péter Magyar wins a landslide victory in the Hungarian parliamentary election, ending Viktor Orbán's 16 years in power;
Viktor Orbán dips to 0%4%
Orbán concedes defeat by phone
Apr 12 2026
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the
Toroczkai congratulates Facebook for “delivering the first Hungarian prime minister” and stresses that the Tisza Party will “return to power,” but offers no concrete claim to the premiership himself
Mar 20 2026
Péter Magyar announces Kapitány will serve as Minister of Economy and Energetics in the prospective Tisza government
István Kapitány dips to 0%1%
Despite the ministerial appointment announcement, market confidence in Kapitány becoming Prime Minister diminished, as he was designated for a ministerial role rather than the premiership, leading to a collapse in his market
Mar 6 2026
Serbian police seize 4 kg of explosives near the TurkStream pipeline;
Viktor Orbán dips to 34%3%
Orbán and Foreign Minister Szijjártó blame Ukraine, but the timing is seen as a last‑minute smear, causing a modest
Feb 11 2026
Media scrutiny highlights Kapitány’s controversial past with Shell’s operations in Nigeria and environmental criticisms
István Kapitány dips to 3%2%
Reports surfaced detailing Kapitány’s involvement in Shell’s projects in Nigeria’s Niger Delta during the 1990s, including links to environmental damage and the repression of activists, which cast doubts on his political viability and ethics.
Jan 15 2026
István Kapitány appointed economic advisor to Péter Magyar and the Tisza Party ahead of the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections
István Kapitány rises to 5%4%
Kapitány, former Shell Global Executive Vice President, joined the Tisza Party as chief economic and energy expert, signaling his entry into politics and raising his profile as a potential candidate in the upcoming elections.
Oct 16 2025
Orbán announces preparations for a 2025 Russia‑U.S.
summit after a phone call with Donald Trump, drawing backlash over his Russia‑friendly stance
Sep 1 2025
Toroczkai held his final campaign rally in Budapest;
László Toroczkai dips to 0%1%
media coverage noted his party’s polling at 4‑5 % and the likelihood of missing the parliamentary threshold
Aug 20 2025
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing
Péter Magyar rises to 57%3%
Péter Magyar holds a major demonstration in Pannonhalma, announcing a new ten-point program outlining his party’s priorities for the upcoming political season, signaling growing opposition momentum
Aug 13 2025
| Russian SVR accuses EU of targeting Hungary;
Péter Magyar rises to 56%1%
Magyar publicly rebuffs Russian interference, boosting his anti‑foreign‑influence image |
Jul 24 2025
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our
László Toroczkai plunges to 1%49%
Hungarian President Tamás Sulyok officially set the parliamentary election for 12 April 2026, signalling the end of the pre‑election window for a surprise surge by Toroczkai’s Our Homeland Movement
May 9 2025
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian
Péter Magyar rises to 54%4%
Prime Minister Orbán delivers the "Tihany Speech," expressing support for Romanian presidential candidate George Simion, sparking criticism and political tension in the Hungarian minority community
"Następny premier Węgier" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 6 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Péter Magyar" z 100%, za nim "Viktor Orbán" z 0%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.
Na dzień dzisiejszy "Następny premier Węgier" wygenerował $101.1 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jul 24, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.
Aby handlować na "Następny premier Węgier", przeglądaj 6 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.
Obecnym faworytem dla "Następny premier Węgier" jest "Péter Magyar" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Viktor Orbán" z 0%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.
Zasady rozstrzygania "Następny premier Węgier" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.
Tak. Nie musisz handlować, aby być na bieżąco. Ta strona służy jako tracker na żywo dla "Następny premier Węgier". Prawdopodobieństwa wyników aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym z każdą nową transakcją. Możesz dodać tę stronę do zakładek i sprawdzić sekcję komentarzy, aby zobaczyć, co myślą inni traderzy. Możesz też użyć filtrów zakresu czasu na wykresie, aby zobaczyć, jak kursy zmieniały się w czasie. To darmowe, działające w czasie rzeczywistym okno na to, czego rynek oczekuje.
Kursy Polymarket ustalane są przez prawdziwych traderów stawiających prawdziwe pieniądze za swoimi przekonaniami, co zwykle prowadzi do trafnych prognoz. Z $101.1 million wolumenu na "Następny premier Węgier", ceny te agregują zbiorową wiedzę i zaangażowanie tysięcy uczestników — często przewyższając sondaże, prognozy ekspertów i tradycyjne badania. Rynki prognoz jak Polymarket mają silną historię trafności, szczególnie gdy wydarzenia zbliżają się do rozstrzygnięcia. Na przykład, Polymarket ma miesięczny wynik trafności 94%. Najnowsze statystyki trafności prognoz Polymarket znajdziesz na stronie trafności na Polymarket.
Aby złożyć swoje pierwsze zlecenie na "Następny premier Węgier", zarejestruj darmowe konto Polymarket i doładuj je kryptowalutą, kartą kredytową lub debetową albo przelewem bankowym. Po doładowaniu konta wróć na tę stronę, wybierz wynik, na który chcesz handlować, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli jesteś nowy w rynkach prognoz, kliknij link "Jak to działa" na górze dowolnej strony Polymarket, aby zobaczyć szybki przewodnik krok po kroku.
Na Polymarket cena każdego wyniku reprezentuje implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Cena 100¢ za "Péter Magyar" na rynku "Następny premier Węgier" oznacza, że traderzy zbiorowo wierzą, iż istnieje w przybliżeniu 100% szansy na to, że "Péter Magyar" będzie poprawnym wynikiem. Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" po 100¢ i wynik jest poprawny, otrzymasz $1.00 za udział — zysk 0¢ za udział. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, te udziały są warte $0.
Rynek "Następny premier Węgier" został rozstrzygnięty. Ostateczny wynik został ustalony i rynek nie jest już otwarty do handlu. Możesz nadal przeglądać historyczne kursy, prawdopodobieństwa wyników i komentarze na tej stronie, aby zobaczyć, jak ewoluowały prognozy.
Rynek "Następny premier Węgier" ma aktywną społeczność z 2,076 komentarzami, gdzie traderzy dzielą się swoimi analizami, debatują nad wynikami i omawiają najnowsze wydarzenia. Przewiń w dół do sekcji komentarzy, aby przeczytać, co myślą inni uczestnicy. Możesz też filtrować według "Najwięksi posiadacze", aby zobaczyć, na czym pozycjonują się największe portfele rynku, lub sprawdzić zakładkę "Aktywność" dla transmisji transakcji na żywo.
Polymarket to największy na świecie rynek prognoz, na którym możesz być na bieżąco i czerpać zyski ze swojej wiedzy o wydarzeniach w świecie rzeczywistym. Traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały w wynikach tematów od polityki i wyborów po kryptowaluty, finanse, sport, technologię i kulturę, w tym rynki takie jak "Następny premier Węgier". Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym poparte finansowym zaangażowaniem, często dostarczając szybsze i trafniejsze sygnały niż sondaże, komentatorzy czy tradycyjne badania.
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