North Carolina's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mark Harris seeking re-election in 2026 amid a map shaped by prior redistricting that favors the party in statewide House contests. The seat's underlying partisan composition, combined with Harris's established presence since 2025, anchors trader consensus around an 86.5% Republican outcome. Limited visibility of strong Democratic challengers or primary disruptions has kept probabilities stable in recent months, with no major polling shifts or candidate announcements altering the landscape near the November general election. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of special factors like scandals or retirements further support the current implied probabilities reflected in active trading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNC-08 House Election Winner
NC-08 House Election Winner
$18,843 Wol.
$18,843 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$18,843 Wol.
$18,843 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,748 Wol.
87%
Democratic Party
$12,096 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mark Harris seeking re-election in 2026 amid a map shaped by prior redistricting that favors the party in statewide House contests. The seat's underlying partisan composition, combined with Harris's established presence since 2025, anchors trader consensus around an 86.5% Republican outcome. Limited visibility of strong Democratic challengers or primary disruptions has kept probabilities stable in recent months, with no major polling shifts or candidate announcements altering the landscape near the November general election. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of special factors like scandals or retirements further support the current implied probabilities reflected in active trading.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,843Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).North Carolina's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mark Harris seeking re-election in 2026 amid a map shaped by prior redistricting that favors the party in statewide House contests. The seat's underlying partisan composition, combined with Harris's established presence since 2025, anchors trader consensus around an 86.5% Republican outcome. Limited visibility of strong Democratic challengers or primary disruptions has kept probabilities stable in recent months, with no major polling shifts or candidate announcements altering the landscape near the November general election. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of special factors like scandals or retirements further support the current implied probabilities reflected in active trading.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$18,843Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...North Carolina's 8th congressional district features Republican incumbent Mark Harris seeking re-election in 2026 amid a map shaped by prior redistricting that favors the party in statewide House contests. The seat's underlying partisan composition, combined with Harris's established presence since 2025, anchors trader consensus around an 86.5% Republican outcome. Limited visibility of strong Democratic challengers or primary disruptions has kept probabilities stable in recent months, with no major polling shifts or candidate announcements altering the landscape near the November general election. Historical midterm patterns and the absence of special factors like scandals or retirements further support the current implied probabilities reflected in active trading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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