Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s recent partisan shift, Scholten’s 2024 reelection margin, and her substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a longtime local meteorologist, secured her primary but faces structural challenges in a seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. The wide gap in market pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-protected districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in key counties like Kent and Ottawa, or unforeseen candidate events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
$20,217 Wol.
$20,217 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$20,217 Wol.
$20,217 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,515 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$4,702 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s recent partisan shift, Scholten’s 2024 reelection margin, and her substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a longtime local meteorologist, secured her primary but faces structural challenges in a seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. The wide gap in market pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-protected districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in key counties like Kent and Ottawa, or unforeseen candidate events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,217Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s recent partisan shift, Scholten’s 2024 reelection margin, and her substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a longtime local meteorologist, secured her primary but faces structural challenges in a seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. The wide gap in market pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-protected districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in key counties like Kent and Ottawa, or unforeseen candidate events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$20,217Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Hillary Scholten holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 3rd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party a 92.5% implied probability of victory. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race as Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s recent partisan shift, Scholten’s 2024 reelection margin, and her substantial fundraising advantage. Republican nominee Terri DeBoer, a longtime local meteorologist, secured her primary but faces structural challenges in a seat that has trended Democratic in recent cycles. The wide gap in market pricing aligns with historical base rates for incumbent-protected districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts, turnout surges in key counties like Kent and Ottawa, or unforeseen candidate events remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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