Seth Magaziner’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District reflects the area’s consistent Democratic lean, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters with a D+4 Partisan Voter Index. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 primary and holds structural advantages in a district covering Cranston, Warwick, and parts of Providence that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Victor Mellor secured the Republican nomination that day by defeating Stephen Skoly, but his self-funded campaign and participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events have drawn immediate scrutiny from Magaziner and law enforcement figures. All election ratings and limited polling underscore the limited path for a Republican upset on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the race, though the current trader consensus prices these risks as low.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRI-02 House Election Winner
RI-02 House Election Winner
$46,233 Wol.
$46,233 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Seth Magaziner (D)
97%
Victor Mellor (R)
1%
$46,233 Wol.
$46,233 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Seth Magaziner (D)
$18,995 Wol.
97%
Victor Mellor (R)
$27,238 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District reflects the area’s consistent Democratic lean, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters with a D+4 Partisan Voter Index. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 primary and holds structural advantages in a district covering Cranston, Warwick, and parts of Providence that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Victor Mellor secured the Republican nomination that day by defeating Stephen Skoly, but his self-funded campaign and participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events have drawn immediate scrutiny from Magaziner and law enforcement figures. All election ratings and limited polling underscore the limited path for a Republican upset on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the race, though the current trader consensus prices these risks as low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$46,233Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Seth Magaziner’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District reflects the area’s consistent Democratic lean, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters with a D+4 Partisan Voter Index. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 primary and holds structural advantages in a district covering Cranston, Warwick, and parts of Providence that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Victor Mellor secured the Republican nomination that day by defeating Stephen Skoly, but his self-funded campaign and participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events have drawn immediate scrutiny from Magaziner and law enforcement figures. All election ratings and limited polling underscore the limited path for a Republican upset on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the race, though the current trader consensus prices these risks as low.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the RI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$46,233Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Seth Magaziner’s commanding position as the Democratic incumbent in Rhode Island’s 2nd Congressional District reflects the area’s consistent Democratic lean, rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters with a D+4 Partisan Voter Index. Magaziner advanced unopposed in the September 9 primary and holds structural advantages in a district covering Cranston, Warwick, and parts of Providence that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Victor Mellor secured the Republican nomination that day by defeating Stephen Skoly, but his self-funded campaign and participation in the January 6, 2021, Capitol events have drawn immediate scrutiny from Magaziner and law enforcement figures. All election ratings and limited polling underscore the limited path for a Republican upset on November 3. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national shift could still alter the race, though the current trader consensus prices these risks as low.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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