Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 68 percent of the vote against challenger Phil Lyman, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. The Democratic primary produced no contested race, leaving limited opposition in a district where recent presidential voting showed Republican advantages exceeding 40 points. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these structural factors and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUT-03 House Election Winner
UT-03 House Election Winner
$12,508 Wol.
$12,508 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$12,508 Wol.
$12,508 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$10,076 Wol.
95%
Democratic Party
$2,432 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 68 percent of the vote against challenger Phil Lyman, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. The Democratic primary produced no contested race, leaving limited opposition in a district where recent presidential voting showed Republican advantages exceeding 40 points. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these structural factors and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,508Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 68 percent of the vote against challenger Phil Lyman, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. The Democratic primary produced no contested race, leaving limited opposition in a district where recent presidential voting showed Republican advantages exceeding 40 points. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these structural factors and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$12,508Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and consistent historical margins favoring GOP candidates. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the Republican nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 68 percent of the vote against challenger Phil Lyman, consolidating party support ahead of the November general election. The Democratic primary produced no contested race, leaving limited opposition in a district where recent presidential voting showed Republican advantages exceeding 40 points. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican Party aligns with these structural factors and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or unprecedented national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though such shifts remain rare in districts with this baseline.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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