Incumbent Republican Keith Self's dominant 81% victory in the March 3 Republican primary over challenger Mark Newgent solidified his nomination in the solidly Republican TX-03 district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Facing Democrat Evan Hunt, who won an uncontested primary, Self benefits from the district's historical GOP margins—62.5% in 2024 and 60.5% in 2022—along with superior fundraising ($255,000 cash on hand vs. Hunt's $31,000 as of March). With no polls showing competitiveness and no major developments since the primaries, traders reflect this structural advantage in an 87.5% implied probability for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-03 House Election Winner
TX-03 House Election Winner
$12,122 Wol.
$12,122 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$12,122 Wol.
$12,122 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,560 Wol.
88%
Democratic Party
$5,563 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self's dominant 81% victory in the March 3 Republican primary over challenger Mark Newgent solidified his nomination in the solidly Republican TX-03 district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Facing Democrat Evan Hunt, who won an uncontested primary, Self benefits from the district's historical GOP margins—62.5% in 2024 and 60.5% in 2022—along with superior fundraising ($255,000 cash on hand vs. Hunt's $31,000 as of March). With no polls showing competitiveness and no major developments since the primaries, traders reflect this structural advantage in an 87.5% implied probability for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$12,122Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Keith Self's dominant 81% victory in the March 3 Republican primary over challenger Mark Newgent solidified his nomination in the solidly Republican TX-03 district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Facing Democrat Evan Hunt, who won an uncontested primary, Self benefits from the district's historical GOP margins—62.5% in 2024 and 60.5% in 2022—along with superior fundraising ($255,000 cash on hand vs. Hunt's $31,000 as of March). With no polls showing competitiveness and no major developments since the primaries, traders reflect this structural advantage in an 87.5% implied probability for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$12,122Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Keith Self's dominant 81% victory in the March 3 Republican primary over challenger Mark Newgent solidified his nomination in the solidly Republican TX-03 district, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index and Solid Republican by forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Facing Democrat Evan Hunt, who won an uncontested primary, Self benefits from the district's historical GOP margins—62.5% in 2024 and 60.5% in 2022—along with superior fundraising ($255,000 cash on hand vs. Hunt's $31,000 as of March). With no polls showing competitiveness and no major developments since the primaries, traders reflect this structural advantage in an 87.5% implied probability for the Republican Party ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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