Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Republican John Deaton. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with the state's partisan composition and Markey's long tenure, underpin trader consensus around a 96.9% probability for a Democratic victory. Recent polling averages show Markey ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with historical margins in this solidly Democratic state. A late scandal, significant health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though such factors would need to overcome entrenched structural advantages to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$47,984 Wol.
$47,984 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
97%
Republican
2%
$47,984 Wol.
$47,984 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$35,014 Wol.
97%
Republican
$12,970 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Republican John Deaton. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with the state's partisan composition and Markey's long tenure, underpin trader consensus around a 96.9% probability for a Democratic victory. Recent polling averages show Markey ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with historical margins in this solidly Democratic state. A late scandal, significant health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though such factors would need to overcome entrenched structural advantages to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$47,984Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Republican John Deaton. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with the state's partisan composition and Markey's long tenure, underpin trader consensus around a 96.9% probability for a Democratic victory. Recent polling averages show Markey ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with historical margins in this solidly Democratic state. A late scandal, significant health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though such factors would need to overcome entrenched structural advantages to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$47,984Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Republican John Deaton. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic voting patterns in Senate contests, combined with the state's partisan composition and Markey's long tenure, underpin trader consensus around a 96.9% probability for a Democratic victory. Recent polling averages show Markey ahead by roughly 20 points, aligning with historical margins in this solidly Democratic state. A late scandal, significant health development, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though such factors would need to overcome entrenched structural advantages to meaningfully alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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