Incumbent Republican Bob Onder secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with 66 percent of the vote and now faces Democrat Bethany Mann in the November 3 general election for Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District. The district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Onder’s 2024 victory by more than 20 points, underpin the market’s 91 percent consensus for a Republican outcome. Fundraising and organizational edges favor the incumbent, while independent race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though the district’s partisan composition limits realistic paths for an upset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-03 House Election Winner
MO-03 House Election Winner
$21,815 Wol.
$21,815 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$21,815 Wol.
$21,815 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$6,524 Wol.
91%
Democratic Party
$15,291 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bob Onder secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with 66 percent of the vote and now faces Democrat Bethany Mann in the November 3 general election for Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District. The district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Onder’s 2024 victory by more than 20 points, underpin the market’s 91 percent consensus for a Republican outcome. Fundraising and organizational edges favor the incumbent, while independent race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though the district’s partisan composition limits realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,815Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bob Onder secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with 66 percent of the vote and now faces Democrat Bethany Mann in the November 3 general election for Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District. The district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Onder’s 2024 victory by more than 20 points, underpin the market’s 91 percent consensus for a Republican outcome. Fundraising and organizational edges favor the incumbent, while independent race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though the district’s partisan composition limits realistic paths for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$21,815Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bob Onder secured the nomination in the August 4 primary with 66 percent of the vote and now faces Democrat Bethany Mann in the November 3 general election for Missouri’s 3rd Congressional District. The district’s R+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including Onder’s 2024 victory by more than 20 points, underpin the market’s 91 percent consensus for a Republican outcome. Fundraising and organizational edges favor the incumbent, while independent race ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though the district’s partisan composition limits realistic paths for an upset.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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