Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 provincial election show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead at around 30 percent, leaving the contest for second place between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec, which recent Léger surveys have placed in a virtual tie near 23 percent. New leaders Charles Milliard for the PLQ and Christine Fréchette for the CAQ have helped stabilize support among federalist voters, while vote consolidation away from Québec solidaire has narrowed gaps. The Parti Conservateur du Québec at 16 percent and other smaller parties remain further back in most projections, though regional strengths and undecided voters keep second-place positioning fluid. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this polling pattern, where shifts in francophone or Montreal-area support could still alter the final order before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoQS 43%
CAQ 28%
PQ 27%
PCQ 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
QS
43%
CAQ
28%
PQ
27%
PCQ
25%
PVQ
23%
PLQ
45%
QS 43%
CAQ 28%
PQ 27%
PCQ 25%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 4, 2026
QS
$21 Wol.
43%
CAQ
$0 Wol.
28%
PQ
$0 Wol.
27%
PCQ
$0 Wol.
25%
PVQ
$81 Wol.
23%
PLQ
$10 Wol.
45%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 provincial election show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead at around 30 percent, leaving the contest for second place between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec, which recent Léger surveys have placed in a virtual tie near 23 percent. New leaders Charles Milliard for the PLQ and Christine Fréchette for the CAQ have helped stabilize support among federalist voters, while vote consolidation away from Québec solidaire has narrowed gaps. The Parti Conservateur du Québec at 16 percent and other smaller parties remain further back in most projections, though regional strengths and undecided voters keep second-place positioning fluid. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this polling pattern, where shifts in francophone or Montreal-area support could still alter the final order before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$112Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 provincial election show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead at around 30 percent, leaving the contest for second place between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec, which recent Léger surveys have placed in a virtual tie near 23 percent. New leaders Charles Milliard for the PLQ and Christine Fréchette for the CAQ have helped stabilize support among federalist voters, while vote consolidation away from Québec solidaire has narrowed gaps. The Parti Conservateur du Québec at 16 percent and other smaller parties remain further back in most projections, though regional strengths and undecided voters keep second-place positioning fluid. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this polling pattern, where shifts in francophone or Montreal-area support could still alter the final order before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Wolumen
$112Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 provincial election show the Parti Québécois maintaining a clear lead at around 30 percent, leaving the contest for second place between the Quebec Liberal Party and the Coalition Avenir Québec, which recent Léger surveys have placed in a virtual tie near 23 percent. New leaders Charles Milliard for the PLQ and Christine Fréchette for the CAQ have helped stabilize support among federalist voters, while vote consolidation away from Québec solidaire has narrowed gaps. The Parti Conservateur du Québec at 16 percent and other smaller parties remain further back in most projections, though regional strengths and undecided voters keep second-place positioning fluid. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with this polling pattern, where shifts in francophone or Montreal-area support could still alter the final order before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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