Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities, including incumbent Sam Graves’s 70.7 percent victory in 2024. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall and Democrat Josh Smead for the November 3 general election, with forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Redistricting incorporated additional Kansas City and Northland territory yet preserved the district’s structural Republican advantage. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects this baseline, low Democratic performance in comparable cycles, and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive race. A national Democratic surge, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issue involving the GOP nominee could narrow margins, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$42,533 Wol.
$42,533 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$42,533 Wol.
$42,533 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$27,128 Wol.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,404 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities, including incumbent Sam Graves’s 70.7 percent victory in 2024. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall and Democrat Josh Smead for the November 3 general election, with forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Redistricting incorporated additional Kansas City and Northland territory yet preserved the district’s structural Republican advantage. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects this baseline, low Democratic performance in comparable cycles, and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive race. A national Democratic surge, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issue involving the GOP nominee could narrow margins, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$42,533Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities, including incumbent Sam Graves’s 70.7 percent victory in 2024. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall and Democrat Josh Smead for the November 3 general election, with forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Redistricting incorporated additional Kansas City and Northland territory yet preserved the district’s structural Republican advantage. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects this baseline, low Democratic performance in comparable cycles, and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive race. A national Democratic surge, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issue involving the GOP nominee could narrow margins, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$42,533Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and has delivered consistent Republican majorities, including incumbent Sam Graves’s 70.7 percent victory in 2024. The August 4 primaries produced Republican nominee Chris Stigall and Democrat Josh Smead for the November 3 general election, with forecasters rating the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Redistricting incorporated additional Kansas City and Northland territory yet preserved the district’s structural Republican advantage. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Republican reflects this baseline, low Democratic performance in comparable cycles, and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive race. A national Democratic surge, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issue involving the GOP nominee could narrow margins, though structural factors continue to anchor expectations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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