Incumbent Republican Mark Alford's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% in the MO-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched conservative lean, with a Cook PVI of R+21 ranking it among the nation's most Republican seats, and Alford's dominant 71% victory margins in 2022 and 2024 general elections. Following the March 31 filing deadline, no Democratic primary candidates are actively listed on Ballotpedia, while Alford boasts over $1.1 million in receipts and $742,000 cash on hand through late March, dwarfing sparse Democratic fundraising. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican. The August 4 primaries could test Alford against challengers Heather Shelton and Scott Vera, but a flip would require an unforeseen scandal, primary upset, or national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this rural, reliably red battleground.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMO-04 House Election Winner
MO-04 House Election Winner
$14,221 Wol.
$14,221 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$14,221 Wol.
$14,221 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,436 Wol.
92%
Democratic Party
$5,786 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% in the MO-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched conservative lean, with a Cook PVI of R+21 ranking it among the nation's most Republican seats, and Alford's dominant 71% victory margins in 2022 and 2024 general elections. Following the March 31 filing deadline, no Democratic primary candidates are actively listed on Ballotpedia, while Alford boasts over $1.1 million in receipts and $742,000 cash on hand through late March, dwarfing sparse Democratic fundraising. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican. The August 4 primaries could test Alford against challengers Heather Shelton and Scott Vera, but a flip would require an unforeseen scandal, primary upset, or national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this rural, reliably red battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,221Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% in the MO-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched conservative lean, with a Cook PVI of R+21 ranking it among the nation's most Republican seats, and Alford's dominant 71% victory margins in 2022 and 2024 general elections. Following the March 31 filing deadline, no Democratic primary candidates are actively listed on Ballotpedia, while Alford boasts over $1.1 million in receipts and $742,000 cash on hand through late March, dwarfing sparse Democratic fundraising. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican. The August 4 primaries could test Alford against challengers Heather Shelton and Scott Vera, but a flip would require an unforeseen scandal, primary upset, or national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this rural, reliably red battleground.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$14,221Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Alford's commanding trader consensus at 91.5% in the MO-04 House race stems from the district's entrenched conservative lean, with a Cook PVI of R+21 ranking it among the nation's most Republican seats, and Alford's dominant 71% victory margins in 2022 and 2024 general elections. Following the March 31 filing deadline, no Democratic primary candidates are actively listed on Ballotpedia, while Alford boasts over $1.1 million in receipts and $742,000 cash on hand through late March, dwarfing sparse Democratic fundraising. Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican. The August 4 primaries could test Alford against challengers Heather Shelton and Scott Vera, but a flip would require an unforeseen scandal, primary upset, or national Democratic wave shifting turnout in this rural, reliably red battleground.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania