**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following President Trump’s 2025 push for Republican-led states to redraw lines and a landmark April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that altered Voting Rights Act standards for race-based districts.** This prompted new maps in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Louisiana, Alabama, and Utah, with California adopting changes via a 2025 ballot measure. Net shifts favor Republicans in roughly a dozen seats across these states, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing litigation. Missouri’s new map faces repeated court blocks, with the U.S. Supreme Court’s September 2026 order likely restoring the 2022 lines for November. Traders monitor remaining state court deadlines, referendum results, and any late ballot-printing disputes that could alter which maps reach voters.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$409,961 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
94%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
<1%
Virginia
4%
Alabama
87%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
4%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
3%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
4%
New York
3%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$409,961 Wol.
California
$17,232 Wol.
96%
Texas
$19,857 Wol.
98%
North Carolina
$11,939 Wol.
96%
Ohio
$7,407 Wol.
94%
Utah
$95,360 Wol.
91%
Florida
$7,335 Wol.
99%
Louisiana
$16,778 Wol.
92%
Missouri
$13,789 Wol.
<1%
Virginia
$10,332 Wol.
4%
Alabama
$18,541 Wol.
87%
South Carolina
$28,897 Wol.
<1%
Georgia
$8,962 Wol.
4%
Kansas
$8,068 Wol.
3%
New Jersey
$6,154 Wol.
3%
Indiana
$34,497 Wol.
5%
Washington
$10,149 Wol.
3%
Nebraska
$7,515 Wol.
5%
Illinois
$11,855 Wol.
2%
Minnesota
$16,084 Wol.
4%
New York
$19,923 Wol.
3%
Maryland
$16,339 Wol.
4%
Wisconsin
$22,948 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following President Trump’s 2025 push for Republican-led states to redraw lines and a landmark April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that altered Voting Rights Act standards for race-based districts.**
This prompted new maps in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Louisiana, Alabama, and Utah, with California adopting changes via a 2025 ballot measure. Net shifts favor Republicans in roughly a dozen seats across these states, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing litigation. Missouri’s new map faces repeated court blocks, with the U.S. Supreme Court’s September 2026 order likely restoring the 2022 lines for November. Traders monitor remaining state court deadlines, referendum results, and any late ballot-printing disputes that could alter which maps reach voters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$409,961Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following President Trump’s 2025 push for Republican-led states to redraw lines and a landmark April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that altered Voting Rights Act standards for race-based districts.**
This prompted new maps in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Louisiana, Alabama, and Utah, with California adopting changes via a 2025 ballot measure. Net shifts favor Republicans in roughly a dozen seats across these states, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing litigation. Missouri’s new map faces repeated court blocks, with the U.S. Supreme Court’s September 2026 order likely restoring the 2022 lines for November. Traders monitor remaining state court deadlines, referendum results, and any late ballot-printing disputes that could alter which maps reach voters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$409,961Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms following President Trump’s 2025 push for Republican-led states to redraw lines and a landmark April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that altered Voting Rights Act standards for race-based districts.** This prompted new maps in states including Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Louisiana, Alabama, and Utah, with California adopting changes via a 2025 ballot measure. Net shifts favor Republicans in roughly a dozen seats across these states, though outcomes remain subject to ongoing litigation. Missouri’s new map faces repeated court blocks, with the U.S. Supreme Court’s September 2026 order likely restoring the 2022 lines for November. Traders monitor remaining state court deadlines, referendum results, and any late ballot-printing disputes that could alter which maps reach voters.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania