The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey's 9th Congressional District, encompassing parts of Bergen, Hudson, and Passaic counties with Democratic voter registration near 40 percent, underpins the market's 90.3 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Freshman incumbent Nellie Pou advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Rosie Pino emerged from a competitive primary in a seat long rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Historical voting patterns, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts reinforce trader consensus. Potential challenges include an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave, unusually high GOP turnout, or late developments affecting candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNJ-09 House Election Winner
NJ-09 House Election Winner
$20,862 Wol.
$20,862 Wol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
$20,862 Wol.
$20,862 Wol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,188 Wol.
90%
Republican Party
$10,674 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey's 9th Congressional District, encompassing parts of Bergen, Hudson, and Passaic counties with Democratic voter registration near 40 percent, underpins the market's 90.3 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Freshman incumbent Nellie Pou advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Rosie Pino emerged from a competitive primary in a seat long rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Historical voting patterns, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts reinforce trader consensus. Potential challenges include an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave, unusually high GOP turnout, or late developments affecting candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$20,862Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey's 9th Congressional District, encompassing parts of Bergen, Hudson, and Passaic counties with Democratic voter registration near 40 percent, underpins the market's 90.3 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Freshman incumbent Nellie Pou advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Rosie Pino emerged from a competitive primary in a seat long rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Historical voting patterns, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts reinforce trader consensus. Potential challenges include an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave, unusually high GOP turnout, or late developments affecting candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$20,862Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of New Jersey's 9th Congressional District, encompassing parts of Bergen, Hudson, and Passaic counties with Democratic voter registration near 40 percent, underpins the market's 90.3 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Freshman incumbent Nellie Pou advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Rosie Pino emerged from a competitive primary in a seat long rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Historical voting patterns, limited Republican infrastructure, and absence of major scandals or redistricting shifts reinforce trader consensus. Potential challenges include an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave, unusually high GOP turnout, or late developments affecting candidate viability before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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