Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean as a majority-minority stronghold with a history of lopsided general election margins. Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from a tight primary win against Kevin Wilson, but faces steep historical barriers in this safe Democratic seat per Cook Political Report ratings. While no recent polling exists, the matchup favors Thompson's incumbency and fundraising edge ahead of the November 3 general election; upset scenarios would require a major scandal, health event for Thompson, or national Republican midterm wave boosting GOP turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$800 Wol.
92%
Republican Party
$617 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean as a majority-minority stronghold with a history of lopsided general election margins. Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from a tight primary win against Kevin Wilson, but faces steep historical barriers in this safe Democratic seat per Cook Political Report ratings. While no recent polling exists, the matchup favors Thompson's incumbency and fundraising edge ahead of the November 3 general election; upset scenarios would require a major scandal, health event for Thompson, or national Republican midterm wave boosting GOP turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,417Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean as a majority-minority stronghold with a history of lopsided general election margins. Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from a tight primary win against Kevin Wilson, but faces steep historical barriers in this safe Democratic seat per Cook Political Report ratings. While no recent polling exists, the matchup favors Thompson's incumbency and fundraising edge ahead of the November 3 general election; upset scenarios would require a major scandal, health event for Thompson, or national Republican midterm wave boosting GOP turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$1,417Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson's commanding 86% victory in the March 10, 2026, Democratic primary over challengers Evan Turnage and Pertis Williams III has solidified trader consensus at 91.5% for the Democratic Party in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District House race, reflecting the district's strong Democratic lean as a majority-minority stronghold with a history of lopsided general election margins. Republican nominee Ron Eller emerged from a tight primary win against Kevin Wilson, but faces steep historical barriers in this safe Democratic seat per Cook Political Report ratings. While no recent polling exists, the matchup favors Thompson's incumbency and fundraising edge ahead of the November 3 general election; upset scenarios would require a major scandal, health event for Thompson, or national Republican midterm wave boosting GOP turnout.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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