Maryland’s 1st Congressional District carries an R+8 partisan voter index and rates as Solid Republican across major forecasters, giving the GOP nominee a structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris faces a primary challenger but benefits from long-standing voter support in the rural Eastern Shore counties. Democratic primary candidates, including Dan Schwartz who has raised over $500,000, are focusing attacks on Harris’s record, yet the district’s voting patterns and failed 2026 redistricting efforts that would have boosted Democratic prospects have kept the seat out of reach. With primaries set for June 23, trader pricing aligns with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the absence of polling or events that would alter the competitive balance before the general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
32%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,475 Wol.
65%
Democratic Party
$3,578 Wol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 1st Congressional District carries an R+8 partisan voter index and rates as Solid Republican across major forecasters, giving the GOP nominee a structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris faces a primary challenger but benefits from long-standing voter support in the rural Eastern Shore counties. Democratic primary candidates, including Dan Schwartz who has raised over $500,000, are focusing attacks on Harris’s record, yet the district’s voting patterns and failed 2026 redistricting efforts that would have boosted Democratic prospects have kept the seat out of reach. With primaries set for June 23, trader pricing aligns with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the absence of polling or events that would alter the competitive balance before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,052Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 1st Congressional District carries an R+8 partisan voter index and rates as Solid Republican across major forecasters, giving the GOP nominee a structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris faces a primary challenger but benefits from long-standing voter support in the rural Eastern Shore counties. Democratic primary candidates, including Dan Schwartz who has raised over $500,000, are focusing attacks on Harris’s record, yet the district’s voting patterns and failed 2026 redistricting efforts that would have boosted Democratic prospects have kept the seat out of reach. With primaries set for June 23, trader pricing aligns with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the absence of polling or events that would alter the competitive balance before the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$9,052Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 1st Congressional District carries an R+8 partisan voter index and rates as Solid Republican across major forecasters, giving the GOP nominee a structural edge in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Andrew Harris faces a primary challenger but benefits from long-standing voter support in the rural Eastern Shore counties. Democratic primary candidates, including Dan Schwartz who has raised over $500,000, are focusing attacks on Harris’s record, yet the district’s voting patterns and failed 2026 redistricting efforts that would have boosted Democratic prospects have kept the seat out of reach. With primaries set for June 23, trader pricing aligns with the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and the absence of polling or events that would alter the competitive balance before the general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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