Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz in the November 3 general election for Maryland's 1st Congressional District. The Eastern Shore-based seat carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Failed Democratic redistricting efforts earlier in the cycle preserved the district's boundaries, limiting any shift in the electorate. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the outlook. Late-cycle factors such as candidate health events or unusually strong Democratic turnout in this low-turnout midterm environment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMD-01 House Election Winner
MD-01 House Election Winner
$58,309 Wol.
$58,309 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
5%
$58,309 Wol.
$58,309 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$33,314 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$24,995 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz in the November 3 general election for Maryland's 1st Congressional District. The Eastern Shore-based seat carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Failed Democratic redistricting efforts earlier in the cycle preserved the district's boundaries, limiting any shift in the electorate. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the outlook. Late-cycle factors such as candidate health events or unusually strong Democratic turnout in this low-turnout midterm environment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$58,309Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz in the November 3 general election for Maryland's 1st Congressional District. The Eastern Shore-based seat carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Failed Democratic redistricting efforts earlier in the cycle preserved the district's boundaries, limiting any shift in the electorate. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the outlook. Late-cycle factors such as candidate health events or unusually strong Democratic turnout in this low-turnout midterm environment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$58,309Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andy Harris secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and faces Democrat Dan Schwartz in the November 3 general election for Maryland's 1st Congressional District. The Eastern Shore-based seat carries an R+8 Partisan Voter Index and has been rated Solid or Safe Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ. Failed Democratic redistricting efforts earlier in the cycle preserved the district's boundaries, limiting any shift in the electorate. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5% implied probability consistent with historical voting patterns and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the outlook. Late-cycle factors such as candidate health events or unusually strong Democratic turnout in this low-turnout midterm environment remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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