Maryland’s 2nd congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. faces only token primary opposition on June 23 and benefits from the district’s consistent partisan makeup and strong historical Democratic performance. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising activity have kept the opposing side at 5.5%. A major scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unexpected national political realignment could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMD-02 House Election Winner
MD-02 House Election Winner
$10,647 Wol.
$10,647 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$10,647 Wol.
$10,647 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,466 Wol.
95%
Republican Party
$2,181 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. faces only token primary opposition on June 23 and benefits from the district’s consistent partisan makeup and strong historical Democratic performance. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising activity have kept the opposing side at 5.5%. A major scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unexpected national political realignment could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,647Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 2nd congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. faces only token primary opposition on June 23 and benefits from the district’s consistent partisan makeup and strong historical Democratic performance. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising activity have kept the opposing side at 5.5%. A major scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unexpected national political realignment could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$10,647Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 2nd congressional district remains a safe Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent John Olszewski Jr. faces only token primary opposition on June 23 and benefits from the district’s consistent partisan makeup and strong historical Democratic performance. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising activity have kept the opposing side at 5.5%. A major scandal involving the Democratic candidate or an unexpected national political realignment could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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