Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a D+3 partisan voter index and is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential cycles. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney, who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces an internal primary challenge from former Representative David Trone ahead of the June 23 contest, but Democratic primary polls show her leading by double digits. Republican candidates remain largely untested in the general election, with no prominent challengers emerging to alter the district’s structural Democratic advantage. These factors have produced trader consensus around an 89.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail in November, consistent with historical patterns for similarly rated seats.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMD-06 House Election Winner
MD-06 House Election Winner
$14,497 Wol.
$14,497 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
8%
$14,497 Wol.
$14,497 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,485 Wol.
90%
Republican Party
$10,012 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a D+3 partisan voter index and is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential cycles. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney, who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces an internal primary challenge from former Representative David Trone ahead of the June 23 contest, but Democratic primary polls show her leading by double digits. Republican candidates remain largely untested in the general election, with no prominent challengers emerging to alter the district’s structural Democratic advantage. These factors have produced trader consensus around an 89.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail in November, consistent with historical patterns for similarly rated seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,497Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a D+3 partisan voter index and is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential cycles. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney, who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces an internal primary challenge from former Representative David Trone ahead of the June 23 contest, but Democratic primary polls show her leading by double digits. Republican candidates remain largely untested in the general election, with no prominent challengers emerging to alter the district’s structural Democratic advantage. These factors have produced trader consensus around an 89.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail in November, consistent with historical patterns for similarly rated seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$14,497Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 6th congressional district carries a D+3 partisan voter index and is rated Solid Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent performance in recent presidential cycles. Incumbent Democrat April McClain Delaney, who won the seat in 2024 with 53 percent, faces an internal primary challenge from former Representative David Trone ahead of the June 23 contest, but Democratic primary polls show her leading by double digits. Republican candidates remain largely untested in the general election, with no prominent challengers emerging to alter the district’s structural Democratic advantage. These factors have produced trader consensus around an 89.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail in November, consistent with historical patterns for similarly rated seats.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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