Redistricting under Proposition 50 transformed California's 3rd Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat Kamala Harris carried 53%-43% in 2024, shifting it from prior Republican tilt and prompting former GOP Rep. Kevin Kiley to forgo a reelection bid here. Incumbent-like Democratic Rep. Ami Bera dominates the June 2 top-two primary with $1.9 million cash-on-hand through March, far outpacing rivals like Nevada County Supervisor Heidi Hall and Army veteran Chris Bennett among Democrats, and GOP hopefuls Christine Bish and Robb Tucker. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, fueling trader consensus at 85.5% for Democratic Party general election victory versus 8% Republican amid weak GOP fundraising and field. Primary outcome could yield Dem-on-Dem November matchup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-03 House Election Winner
CA-03 House Election Winner
$25,113 Wol.
$25,113 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
8%
$25,113 Wol.
$25,113 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,178 Wol.
86%
Republican Party
$11,935 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 transformed California's 3rd Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat Kamala Harris carried 53%-43% in 2024, shifting it from prior Republican tilt and prompting former GOP Rep. Kevin Kiley to forgo a reelection bid here. Incumbent-like Democratic Rep. Ami Bera dominates the June 2 top-two primary with $1.9 million cash-on-hand through March, far outpacing rivals like Nevada County Supervisor Heidi Hall and Army veteran Chris Bennett among Democrats, and GOP hopefuls Christine Bish and Robb Tucker. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, fueling trader consensus at 85.5% for Democratic Party general election victory versus 8% Republican amid weak GOP fundraising and field. Primary outcome could yield Dem-on-Dem November matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$25,113Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 transformed California's 3rd Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat Kamala Harris carried 53%-43% in 2024, shifting it from prior Republican tilt and prompting former GOP Rep. Kevin Kiley to forgo a reelection bid here. Incumbent-like Democratic Rep. Ami Bera dominates the June 2 top-two primary with $1.9 million cash-on-hand through March, far outpacing rivals like Nevada County Supervisor Heidi Hall and Army veteran Chris Bennett among Democrats, and GOP hopefuls Christine Bish and Robb Tucker. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, fueling trader consensus at 85.5% for Democratic Party general election victory versus 8% Republican amid weak GOP fundraising and field. Primary outcome could yield Dem-on-Dem November matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$25,113Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 transformed California's 3rd Congressional District into a Democratic-leaning seat Kamala Harris carried 53%-43% in 2024, shifting it from prior Republican tilt and prompting former GOP Rep. Kevin Kiley to forgo a reelection bid here. Incumbent-like Democratic Rep. Ami Bera dominates the June 2 top-two primary with $1.9 million cash-on-hand through March, far outpacing rivals like Nevada County Supervisor Heidi Hall and Army veteran Chris Bennett among Democrats, and GOP hopefuls Christine Bish and Robb Tucker. Forecasters rate it Solid Democratic, fueling trader consensus at 85.5% for Democratic Party general election victory versus 8% Republican amid weak GOP fundraising and field. Primary outcome could yield Dem-on-Dem November matchup.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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