Tennessee's 6th Congressional District carries a strong Republican tilt after recent redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+13 to R+26 depending on the metric, making it a safe hold for the party in forecaster ratings. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, saw state Rep. Johnny Garrett secure the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary over experienced challengers including former Rep. Van Hilleary. Democrat Mike Croley emerged from a fragmented primary field. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's consistent voting history and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow margins, though such outcomes remain low-probability given structural advantages.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
$14,021 Wol.
$14,021 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$14,021 Wol.
$14,021 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$9,020 Wol.
95%
Democratic Party
$5,001 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th Congressional District carries a strong Republican tilt after recent redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+13 to R+26 depending on the metric, making it a safe hold for the party in forecaster ratings. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, saw state Rep. Johnny Garrett secure the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary over experienced challengers including former Rep. Van Hilleary. Democrat Mike Croley emerged from a fragmented primary field. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's consistent voting history and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow margins, though such outcomes remain low-probability given structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,021Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th Congressional District carries a strong Republican tilt after recent redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+13 to R+26 depending on the metric, making it a safe hold for the party in forecaster ratings. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, saw state Rep. Johnny Garrett secure the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary over experienced challengers including former Rep. Van Hilleary. Democrat Mike Croley emerged from a fragmented primary field. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's consistent voting history and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow margins, though such outcomes remain low-probability given structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$14,021Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th Congressional District carries a strong Republican tilt after recent redistricting, with a Partisan Voter Index around R+13 to R+26 depending on the metric, making it a safe hold for the party in forecaster ratings. The open seat, vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid, saw state Rep. Johnny Garrett secure the Republican nomination in the August 6 primary over experienced challengers including former Rep. Van Hilleary. Democrat Mike Croley emerged from a fragmented primary field. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of victory in the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's consistent voting history and limited Democratic infrastructure. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow margins, though such outcomes remain low-probability given structural advantages.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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