Tennessee's 6th Congressional District remains heavily Republican-leaning after May 2026 redistricting that strengthened the GOP tilt, with the revised map delivering a 27-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. The seat opened after incumbent John Rose launched a gubernatorial bid, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders while Democrats field a crowded but under-resourced slate ahead of their August primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in the suburban Nashville and Middle Tennessee counties. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated open seats in the state. A national Democratic surge or late primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to overcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTN-06 House Election Winner
TN-06 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,992 Wol.
93%
Democratic Party
$1,097 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th Congressional District remains heavily Republican-leaning after May 2026 redistricting that strengthened the GOP tilt, with the revised map delivering a 27-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. The seat opened after incumbent John Rose launched a gubernatorial bid, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders while Democrats field a crowded but under-resourced slate ahead of their August primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in the suburban Nashville and Middle Tennessee counties. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated open seats in the state. A national Democratic surge or late primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to overcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,089Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th Congressional District remains heavily Republican-leaning after May 2026 redistricting that strengthened the GOP tilt, with the revised map delivering a 27-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. The seat opened after incumbent John Rose launched a gubernatorial bid, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders while Democrats field a crowded but under-resourced slate ahead of their August primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in the suburban Nashville and Middle Tennessee counties. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated open seats in the state. A national Democratic surge or late primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to overcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$6,089Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th Congressional District remains heavily Republican-leaning after May 2026 redistricting that strengthened the GOP tilt, with the revised map delivering a 27-point Trump margin in the prior cycle. The seat opened after incumbent John Rose launched a gubernatorial bid, drawing multiple Republican primary contenders while Democrats field a crowded but under-resourced slate ahead of their August primary. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district's consistent partisan voting index and limited Democratic infrastructure in the suburban Nashville and Middle Tennessee counties. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with historical base rates for similarly rated open seats in the state. A national Democratic surge or late primary upset could narrow the gap, though structural factors would still require an unusually large swing to overcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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