Tennessee's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid R" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and general election against presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, with no major redistricting shifts affecting the Knoxville-based seat in the May 2026 map update. The district's voting patterns, combined with Burchett's established incumbency and fundraising position, underpin trader consensus on a Republican victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high turnout shifts among suburban or independent voters, though historical results indicate these remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTN-02 House Election Winner
TN-02 House Election Winner
$28,042 Wol.
$28,042 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$28,042 Wol.
$28,042 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,235 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$8,807 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid R" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and general election against presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, with no major redistricting shifts affecting the Knoxville-based seat in the May 2026 map update. The district's voting patterns, combined with Burchett's established incumbency and fundraising position, underpin trader consensus on a Republican victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high turnout shifts among suburban or independent voters, though historical results indicate these remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$28,042Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid R" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and general election against presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, with no major redistricting shifts affecting the Knoxville-based seat in the May 2026 map update. The district's voting patterns, combined with Burchett's established incumbency and fundraising position, underpin trader consensus on a Republican victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high turnout shifts among suburban or independent voters, though historical results indicate these remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$28,042Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent "Solid R" or "Safe R" ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Tim Burchett faces limited opposition in the August 6 Republican primary and general election against presumptive Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett, with no major redistricting shifts affecting the Knoxville-based seat in the May 2026 map update. The district's voting patterns, combined with Burchett's established incumbency and fundraising position, underpin trader consensus on a Republican victory. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include an unusually strong national Democratic performance, a significant personal or ethical controversy involving the incumbent, or unexpectedly high turnout shifts among suburban or independent voters, though historical results indicate these remain low-probability events within the current cycle.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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