Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt based on consistent voter patterns in recent cycles, with the incumbent Harshbarger positioned for reelection under the map redrawn in May 2026. Cook Political Report rates the race as safe for the GOP, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising challenges that limit opposition viability. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, including the district's rural and conservative electorate. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the nominee, or an extreme national environment that overrides local dynamics, though historical base rates show low likelihood of an upset in this seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$19,295 Wol.
$19,295 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$19,295 Wol.
$19,295 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,047 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$5,248 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt based on consistent voter patterns in recent cycles, with the incumbent Harshbarger positioned for reelection under the map redrawn in May 2026. Cook Political Report rates the race as safe for the GOP, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising challenges that limit opposition viability. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, including the district's rural and conservative electorate. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the nominee, or an extreme national environment that overrides local dynamics, though historical base rates show low likelihood of an upset in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,295Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt based on consistent voter patterns in recent cycles, with the incumbent Harshbarger positioned for reelection under the map redrawn in May 2026. Cook Political Report rates the race as safe for the GOP, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising challenges that limit opposition viability. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, including the district's rural and conservative electorate. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the nominee, or an extreme national environment that overrides local dynamics, though historical base rates show low likelihood of an upset in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$19,295Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt based on consistent voter patterns in recent cycles, with the incumbent Harshbarger positioned for reelection under the map redrawn in May 2026. Cook Political Report rates the race as safe for the GOP, reflecting limited Democratic recruitment and fundraising challenges that limit opposition viability. Trader consensus at 93.5% Republican probability aligns with these fundamentals, including the district's rural and conservative electorate. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by the nominee, or an extreme national environment that overrides local dynamics, though historical base rates show low likelihood of an upset in this seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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