Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory in May 2026, facing only token opposition in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The seat has remained in Republican hands without an incumbent defeat since 1884, reflecting consistent voter support across western and central Kentucky counties. Democrat Megan Wingfield emerged from a four-candidate primary to become the general election challenger on November 3, yet the district's established partisan patterns continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome. Late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or shifts in national midterm dynamics could narrow margins, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,217 Wol.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,681 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory in May 2026, facing only token opposition in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The seat has remained in Republican hands without an incumbent defeat since 1884, reflecting consistent voter support across western and central Kentucky counties. Democrat Megan Wingfield emerged from a four-candidate primary to become the general election challenger on November 3, yet the district's established partisan patterns continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome. Late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or shifts in national midterm dynamics could narrow margins, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,898Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory in May 2026, facing only token opposition in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The seat has remained in Republican hands without an incumbent defeat since 1884, reflecting consistent voter support across western and central Kentucky counties. Democrat Megan Wingfield emerged from a four-candidate primary to become the general election challenger on November 3, yet the district's established partisan patterns continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome. Late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or shifts in national midterm dynamics could narrow margins, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$5,898Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brett Guthrie secured his party's nomination with a decisive primary victory in May 2026, facing only token opposition in Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District. The seat has remained in Republican hands without an incumbent defeat since 1884, reflecting consistent voter support across western and central Kentucky counties. Democrat Megan Wingfield emerged from a four-candidate primary to become the general election challenger on November 3, yet the district's established partisan patterns continue to shape trader assessments of the outcome. Late-cycle developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or shifts in national midterm dynamics could narrow margins, though structural advantages favor the Republican nominee.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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