Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index, positioning it among the more reliably Democratic seats in the state and driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Morgan McGarvey advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Maria Rodriguez emerged from a fragmented primary field with limited fundraising. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical performance and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. The November 3, 2026, contest would require an unusually large swing in turnout or national conditions to alter the outcome, though late developments in candidate viability or broader midterm dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKY-03 House Election Winner
KY-03 House Election Winner
$19,831 Wol.
$19,831 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$19,831 Wol.
$19,831 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,236 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$3,595 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index, positioning it among the more reliably Democratic seats in the state and driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Morgan McGarvey advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Maria Rodriguez emerged from a fragmented primary field with limited fundraising. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical performance and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. The November 3, 2026, contest would require an unusually large swing in turnout or national conditions to alter the outcome, though late developments in candidate viability or broader midterm dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,831Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index, positioning it among the more reliably Democratic seats in the state and driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Morgan McGarvey advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Maria Rodriguez emerged from a fragmented primary field with limited fundraising. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical performance and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. The November 3, 2026, contest would require an unusually large swing in turnout or national conditions to alter the outcome, though late developments in candidate viability or broader midterm dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$19,831Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky’s 3rd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index, positioning it among the more reliably Democratic seats in the state and driving trader consensus toward the Democratic nominee at 93.5%. Incumbent Morgan McGarvey advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican Maria Rodriguez emerged from a fragmented primary field with limited fundraising. Forecasters rate the general election Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical performance and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. The November 3, 2026, contest would require an unusually large swing in turnout or national conditions to alter the outcome, though late developments in candidate viability or broader midterm dynamics remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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