Kentucky's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and PVI of R+7, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Andy Barr's retirement to pursue a Senate bid triggered competitive primaries, with Ralph Alvarado securing the Republican nomination and Zach Dembo emerging as the Democratic candidate. Recent internal polls show a narrower race than historical results, yet the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles and limited shifts in voter composition sustain the current implied probability gap ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKY-06 House Election Winner
KY-06 House Election Winner
$32,557 Wol.
$32,557 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
71%
Democratic Party
28%
$32,557 Wol.
$32,557 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$13,332 Wol.
71%
Democratic Party
$19,225 Wol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and PVI of R+7, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Andy Barr's retirement to pursue a Senate bid triggered competitive primaries, with Ralph Alvarado securing the Republican nomination and Zach Dembo emerging as the Democratic candidate. Recent internal polls show a narrower race than historical results, yet the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles and limited shifts in voter composition sustain the current implied probability gap ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$32,557Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kentucky's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and PVI of R+7, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Andy Barr's retirement to pursue a Senate bid triggered competitive primaries, with Ralph Alvarado securing the Republican nomination and Zach Dembo emerging as the Democratic candidate. Recent internal polls show a narrower race than historical results, yet the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles and limited shifts in voter composition sustain the current implied probability gap ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$32,557Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's 6th congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the 2024 presidential margin and PVI of R+7, which underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat contest. Incumbent Andy Barr's retirement to pursue a Senate bid triggered competitive primaries, with Ralph Alvarado securing the Republican nomination and Zach Dembo emerging as the Democratic candidate. Recent internal polls show a narrower race than historical results, yet the district's consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles and limited shifts in voter composition sustain the current implied probability gap ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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