The Arizona 9th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent general election margins exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Paul Gosar faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest, while the Democratic primary features Danielle Sterbinsky with limited fundraising visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, primary upset, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit such shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-09 House Election Winner
AZ-09 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,873 Wol.
92%
Democratic Party
$3,996 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arizona 9th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent general election margins exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Paul Gosar faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest, while the Democratic primary features Danielle Sterbinsky with limited fundraising visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, primary upset, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,869Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Arizona 9th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent general election margins exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Paul Gosar faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest, while the Democratic primary features Danielle Sterbinsky with limited fundraising visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, primary upset, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$6,869Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Arizona 9th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent general election margins exceeding 30 points, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Paul Gosar faces minimal primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest, while the Democratic primary features Danielle Sterbinsky with limited fundraising visibility. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. A late national Democratic surge, primary upset, or unexpected candidate withdrawal could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election, though structural factors limit such shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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