Incumbent Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook PVI and Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024. Gill secured over 91 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced from a narrow primary contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Gill a 97 percent implied probability. The November 3 general election features limited polling and no evident shifts in voter sentiment. Unlikely developments such as a late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-26 House Election Winner
TX-26 House Election Winner
$34,674 Wol.
$34,674 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Brandon Gill (R)
97%
Steven Shook (D)
3%
$34,674 Wol.
$34,674 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Brandon Gill (R)
$22,357 Wol.
97%
Steven Shook (D)
$12,318 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook PVI and Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024. Gill secured over 91 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced from a narrow primary contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Gill a 97 percent implied probability. The November 3 general election features limited polling and no evident shifts in voter sentiment. Unlikely developments such as a late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,674Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook PVI and Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024. Gill secured over 91 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced from a narrow primary contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Gill a 97 percent implied probability. The November 3 general election features limited polling and no evident shifts in voter sentiment. Unlikely developments such as a late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$34,674Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Brandon Gill holds a commanding position in the Texas 26th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 Cook PVI and Donald Trump's 19.5-point margin there in 2024. Gill secured over 91 percent in the March 2026 Republican primary, while Democrat Steven Shook advanced from a narrow primary contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus that assigns Gill a 97 percent implied probability. The November 3 general election features limited polling and no evident shifts in voter sentiment. Unlikely developments such as a late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national political realignment could alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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