Melissa Bean, former U.S. Representative who held IL-08 from 2005 to 2011, secured the Democratic nomination with 32% in the crowded March 17 primary after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi vacated the seat for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, while Jennifer Davis won the Republican primary with 51%. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 89.5%, driven by the district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Democratic general election margins (e.g., Krishnamoorthi's 57% in 2024), Bean's name recognition and superior fundraising ($1.76 million raised vs. Davis's $938,000), and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. No general election polls yet; national midterm dynamics and local turnout could influence the November 3 contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-08 House Election Winner
IL-08 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,046 Wol.
90%
Republican Party
$2,500 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean, former U.S. Representative who held IL-08 from 2005 to 2011, secured the Democratic nomination with 32% in the crowded March 17 primary after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi vacated the seat for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, while Jennifer Davis won the Republican primary with 51%. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 89.5%, driven by the district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Democratic general election margins (e.g., Krishnamoorthi's 57% in 2024), Bean's name recognition and superior fundraising ($1.76 million raised vs. Davis's $938,000), and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. No general election polls yet; national midterm dynamics and local turnout could influence the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,546Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean, former U.S. Representative who held IL-08 from 2005 to 2011, secured the Democratic nomination with 32% in the crowded March 17 primary after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi vacated the seat for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, while Jennifer Davis won the Republican primary with 51%. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 89.5%, driven by the district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Democratic general election margins (e.g., Krishnamoorthi's 57% in 2024), Bean's name recognition and superior fundraising ($1.76 million raised vs. Davis's $938,000), and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. No general election polls yet; national midterm dynamics and local turnout could influence the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$4,546Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean, former U.S. Representative who held IL-08 from 2005 to 2011, secured the Democratic nomination with 32% in the crowded March 17 primary after incumbent Raja Krishnamoorthi vacated the seat for an unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, while Jennifer Davis won the Republican primary with 51%. Trader consensus prices Democratic victory at 89.5%, driven by the district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, consistent Democratic general election margins (e.g., Krishnamoorthi's 57% in 2024), Bean's name recognition and superior fundraising ($1.76 million raised vs. Davis's $938,000), and Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report and others. No general election polls yet; national midterm dynamics and local turnout could influence the November 3 contest.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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