Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured a decisive 76 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.7 million against Republican nominee Niki Conforti. The suburban Chicago district carries a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voter index and Casten's eight-point 2024 victory, prompting race raters including the Cook Political Report to classify it Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national environment. A late Republican midterm surge, significant Casten scandal, or Conforti performance exceeding expectations could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-06 House Election Winner
IL-06 House Election Winner
$42,788 Wol.
$42,788 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$42,788 Wol.
$42,788 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,798 Wol.
96%
Republican Party
$22,990 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured a decisive 76 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.7 million against Republican nominee Niki Conforti. The suburban Chicago district carries a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voter index and Casten's eight-point 2024 victory, prompting race raters including the Cook Political Report to classify it Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national environment. A late Republican midterm surge, significant Casten scandal, or Conforti performance exceeding expectations could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$42,788Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured a decisive 76 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.7 million against Republican nominee Niki Conforti. The suburban Chicago district carries a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voter index and Casten's eight-point 2024 victory, prompting race raters including the Cook Political Report to classify it Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national environment. A late Republican midterm surge, significant Casten scandal, or Conforti performance exceeding expectations could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$42,788Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured a decisive 76 percent in the March 2026 primary and holds a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.7 million against Republican nominee Niki Conforti. The suburban Chicago district carries a Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voter index and Casten's eight-point 2024 victory, prompting race raters including the Cook Political Report to classify it Solid Democratic. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic outcome aligns with these structural factors and the absence of major recent shifts in polling or national environment. A late Republican midterm surge, significant Casten scandal, or Conforti performance exceeding expectations could narrow the gap ahead of the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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