The Illinois 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voter Index of D+19, consistent with its recent election margins and composition of Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs. Donna Miller, the Cook County commissioner who won the March 2026 Democratic primary, faces Republican Mike Noack and a write-in independent in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic following the open-seat primary and the retirement of former Representative Robin Kelly. With no competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts, trader consensus reflects the district’s structural partisan balance and the absence of late-breaking developments that could alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-02 House Election Winner
$33,686 Wol.
$33,686 Wol.
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$33,686 Wol.
$33,686 Wol.
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat with a Partisan Voter Index of D+19, consistent with its recent election margins and composition of Chicago’s South Side and southern suburbs. Donna Miller, the Cook County commissioner who won the March 2026 Democratic primary, faces Republican Mike Noack and a write-in independent in the November general election. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Safe or Solid Democratic following the open-seat primary and the retirement of former Representative Robin Kelly. With no competitive Republican infrastructure or recent polling shifts, trader consensus reflects the district’s structural partisan balance and the absence of late-breaking developments that could alter the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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