Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong structural edge in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried the seat by 8.5 points in 2024 and expert ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Hill easily won his March primary, while Democrat Chris Jones advanced after a low-profile primary. Although a May internal poll and an August Hendrix College survey showed Jones narrowly ahead or tied among likely voters, broader forecasting models project Hill winning by double digits. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to target the seat has drawn attention to suburban pockets around Little Rock, yet the district’s partisan baseline and midterm dynamics have kept trader consensus on Republican victory near 86 percent. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAR-02 House Election Winner
AR-02 House Election Winner
$12,024 Wol.
$12,024 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
$12,024 Wol.
$12,024 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,104 Wol.
86%
Democratic Party
$7,920 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong structural edge in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried the seat by 8.5 points in 2024 and expert ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Hill easily won his March primary, while Democrat Chris Jones advanced after a low-profile primary. Although a May internal poll and an August Hendrix College survey showed Jones narrowly ahead or tied among likely voters, broader forecasting models project Hill winning by double digits. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to target the seat has drawn attention to suburban pockets around Little Rock, yet the district’s partisan baseline and midterm dynamics have kept trader consensus on Republican victory near 86 percent. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,024Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong structural edge in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried the seat by 8.5 points in 2024 and expert ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Hill easily won his March primary, while Democrat Chris Jones advanced after a low-profile primary. Although a May internal poll and an August Hendrix College survey showed Jones narrowly ahead or tied among likely voters, broader forecasting models project Hill winning by double digits. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to target the seat has drawn attention to suburban pockets around Little Rock, yet the district’s partisan baseline and midterm dynamics have kept trader consensus on Republican victory near 86 percent. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$12,024Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill holds a strong structural edge in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district, where Donald Trump carried the seat by 8.5 points in 2024 and expert ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican. Hill easily won his March primary, while Democrat Chris Jones advanced after a low-profile primary. Although a May internal poll and an August Hendrix College survey showed Jones narrowly ahead or tied among likely voters, broader forecasting models project Hill winning by double digits. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s decision to target the seat has drawn attention to suburban pockets around Little Rock, yet the district’s partisan baseline and midterm dynamics have kept trader consensus on Republican victory near 86 percent. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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