Incumbent Republican French Hill faces Democrat Chris Jones in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential and statewide results, combined with Hill’s primary victory and long tenure in Congress, underpins the 87% Republican consensus on Polymarket. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing structural advantages that outweigh a single August poll showing Jones narrowly ahead. National Democratic targeting and Jones’s campaign activity have kept the Democratic share at 14%, yet historical voting patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators continue to favor the Republican nominee.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAR-02 House Election Winner
AR-02 House Election Winner
$12,244 Wol.
$12,244 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$12,244 Wol.
$12,244 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,224 Wol.
87%
Democratic Party
$8,020 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill faces Democrat Chris Jones in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential and statewide results, combined with Hill’s primary victory and long tenure in Congress, underpins the 87% Republican consensus on Polymarket. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing structural advantages that outweigh a single August poll showing Jones narrowly ahead. National Democratic targeting and Jones’s campaign activity have kept the Democratic share at 14%, yet historical voting patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators continue to favor the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,244Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill faces Democrat Chris Jones in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential and statewide results, combined with Hill’s primary victory and long tenure in Congress, underpins the 87% Republican consensus on Polymarket. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing structural advantages that outweigh a single August poll showing Jones narrowly ahead. National Democratic targeting and Jones’s campaign activity have kept the Democratic share at 14%, yet historical voting patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators continue to favor the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$12,244Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill faces Democrat Chris Jones in Arkansas’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district’s strong Republican tilt, reflected in prior presidential and statewide results, combined with Hill’s primary victory and long tenure in Congress, underpins the 87% Republican consensus on Polymarket. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Republican, citing structural advantages that outweigh a single August poll showing Jones narrowly ahead. National Democratic targeting and Jones’s campaign activity have kept the Democratic share at 14%, yet historical voting patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout indicators continue to favor the Republican nominee.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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