Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 3, 2026 general election for Arkansas’s 1st congressional district. Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee at 96.7 percent because the northeastern Arkansas seat has delivered consistent Republican margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, including Crawford’s 2024 result. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, the district’s partisan composition, and the uncontested Republican primary that allowed Crawford to conserve resources. The Democratic candidate’s late filing and minimal reported fundraising further limit any path to upset. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$26,556 Wol.
$26,556 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
1%
$26,556 Wol.
$26,556 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$16,297 Wol.
96%
Democratic Party
$10,259 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 3, 2026 general election for Arkansas’s 1st congressional district. Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee at 96.7 percent because the northeastern Arkansas seat has delivered consistent Republican margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, including Crawford’s 2024 result. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, the district’s partisan composition, and the uncontested Republican primary that allowed Crawford to conserve resources. The Democratic candidate’s late filing and minimal reported fundraising further limit any path to upset. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$26,556Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 3, 2026 general election for Arkansas’s 1st congressional district. Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee at 96.7 percent because the northeastern Arkansas seat has delivered consistent Republican margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, including Crawford’s 2024 result. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, the district’s partisan composition, and the uncontested Republican primary that allowed Crawford to conserve resources. The Democratic candidate’s late filing and minimal reported fundraising further limit any path to upset. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$26,556Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 3, 2026 general election for Arkansas’s 1st congressional district. Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican nominee at 96.7 percent because the northeastern Arkansas seat has delivered consistent Republican margins above 70 percent in recent cycles, including Crawford’s 2024 result. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure, the district’s partisan composition, and the uncontested Republican primary that allowed Crawford to conserve resources. The Democratic candidate’s late filing and minimal reported fundraising further limit any path to upset. Late developments such as an unforeseen scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a dramatic national political shift could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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