Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his established record since 2023, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Lean Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Democrat Chris Gallant, a National Guard veteran and air traffic controller who secured the nomination with roughly 63 percent in the June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Limited post-primary developments have kept probabilities stable, with LaLota’s incumbency and financial resources reinforcing trader consensus around a 72 percent implied probability for his victory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$42,336 Wol.
$42,336 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
72%
Chris Gallant (D)
28%
$42,336 Wol.
$42,336 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
$16,270 Wol.
72%
Chris Gallant (D)
$26,065 Wol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his established record since 2023, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Lean Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Democrat Chris Gallant, a National Guard veteran and air traffic controller who secured the nomination with roughly 63 percent in the June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Limited post-primary developments have kept probabilities stable, with LaLota’s incumbency and financial resources reinforcing trader consensus around a 72 percent implied probability for his victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Wolumen
$42,336Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his established record since 2023, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Lean Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Democrat Chris Gallant, a National Guard veteran and air traffic controller who secured the nomination with roughly 63 percent in the June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Limited post-primary developments have kept probabilities stable, with LaLota’s incumbency and financial resources reinforcing trader consensus around a 72 percent implied probability for his victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$42,336Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by his established record since 2023, substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3 million, and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Lean Republican” ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report. Democrat Chris Gallant, a National Guard veteran and air traffic controller who secured the nomination with roughly 63 percent in the June primary, faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Limited post-primary developments have kept probabilities stable, with LaLota’s incumbency and financial resources reinforcing trader consensus around a 72 percent implied probability for his victory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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