**NC-11's competitiveness stems from the October 2025 redistricting that produced an R+5 partisan voting index, combined with incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards facing headwinds over Hurricane Helene recovery efforts in western North Carolina.** Democrat Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer and grandson of a former congressman, won his March 2026 primary decisively and secured DCCC Red-to-Blue support, prompting national Democratic investment and outside ad reservations. An internal December 2025 poll showed Ager narrowly ahead of Edwards. While Cook rates the seat Likely or Solid Republican and Sabato rates it Lean Republican, Inside Elections shifted toward Democrats, and traders assign the Democratic nominee a 57.5% implied probability—slightly above historical base rates for an R-held district—reflecting perceptions of local vulnerabilities and broader midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNC-11 House Election Winner
NC-11 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
40%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$388 Wol.
68%
Republican Party
$503 Wol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**NC-11's competitiveness stems from the October 2025 redistricting that produced an R+5 partisan voting index, combined with incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards facing headwinds over Hurricane Helene recovery efforts in western North Carolina.** Democrat Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer and grandson of a former congressman, won his March 2026 primary decisively and secured DCCC Red-to-Blue support, prompting national Democratic investment and outside ad reservations. An internal December 2025 poll showed Ager narrowly ahead of Edwards. While Cook rates the seat Likely or Solid Republican and Sabato rates it Lean Republican, Inside Elections shifted toward Democrats, and traders assign the Democratic nominee a 57.5% implied probability—slightly above historical base rates for an R-held district—reflecting perceptions of local vulnerabilities and broader midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$891Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**NC-11's competitiveness stems from the October 2025 redistricting that produced an R+5 partisan voting index, combined with incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards facing headwinds over Hurricane Helene recovery efforts in western North Carolina.** Democrat Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer and grandson of a former congressman, won his March 2026 primary decisively and secured DCCC Red-to-Blue support, prompting national Democratic investment and outside ad reservations. An internal December 2025 poll showed Ager narrowly ahead of Edwards. While Cook rates the seat Likely or Solid Republican and Sabato rates it Lean Republican, Inside Elections shifted toward Democrats, and traders assign the Democratic nominee a 57.5% implied probability—slightly above historical base rates for an R-held district—reflecting perceptions of local vulnerabilities and broader midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$891Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**NC-11's competitiveness stems from the October 2025 redistricting that produced an R+5 partisan voting index, combined with incumbent Republican Chuck Edwards facing headwinds over Hurricane Helene recovery efforts in western North Carolina.** Democrat Jamie Ager, a fourth-generation farmer and grandson of a former congressman, won his March 2026 primary decisively and secured DCCC Red-to-Blue support, prompting national Democratic investment and outside ad reservations. An internal December 2025 poll showed Ager narrowly ahead of Edwards. While Cook rates the seat Likely or Solid Republican and Sabato rates it Lean Republican, Inside Elections shifted toward Democrats, and traders assign the Democratic nominee a 57.5% implied probability—slightly above historical base rates for an R-held district—reflecting perceptions of local vulnerabilities and broader midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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