The open AZ-05 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Andy Biggs to pursue the governorship, features a district with an R+10 partisan voting index and a prior 20-point Republican margin that underpins the strong trader consensus for the GOP nominee. Mark Lamb secured the Republican primary with a clear majority after Trump endorsement, defeating self-funded challenger Daniel Keenan despite reports of personal allegations and out-of-state property interests. Democrat Elizabeth Lee emerged from her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged path in this east Valley suburban district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as major scandals, turnout shifts in key voting blocs, or national political realignments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-05 House Election Winner
AZ-05 House Election Winner
$36,256 Wol.
$36,256 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
$36,256 Wol.
$36,256 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$20,782 Wol.
92%
Democratic Party
$15,473 Wol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open AZ-05 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Andy Biggs to pursue the governorship, features a district with an R+10 partisan voting index and a prior 20-point Republican margin that underpins the strong trader consensus for the GOP nominee. Mark Lamb secured the Republican primary with a clear majority after Trump endorsement, defeating self-funded challenger Daniel Keenan despite reports of personal allegations and out-of-state property interests. Democrat Elizabeth Lee emerged from her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged path in this east Valley suburban district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as major scandals, turnout shifts in key voting blocs, or national political realignments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$36,256Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open AZ-05 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Andy Biggs to pursue the governorship, features a district with an R+10 partisan voting index and a prior 20-point Republican margin that underpins the strong trader consensus for the GOP nominee. Mark Lamb secured the Republican primary with a clear majority after Trump endorsement, defeating self-funded challenger Daniel Keenan despite reports of personal allegations and out-of-state property interests. Democrat Elizabeth Lee emerged from her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged path in this east Valley suburban district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as major scandals, turnout shifts in key voting blocs, or national political realignments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$36,256Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The open AZ-05 seat, vacated by Republican incumbent Andy Biggs to pursue the governorship, features a district with an R+10 partisan voting index and a prior 20-point Republican margin that underpins the strong trader consensus for the GOP nominee. Mark Lamb secured the Republican primary with a clear majority after Trump endorsement, defeating self-funded challenger Daniel Keenan despite reports of personal allegations and out-of-state property interests. Democrat Elizabeth Lee emerged from her primary but faces a structurally disadvantaged path in this east Valley suburban district rated solid or safe Republican by major forecasters. Late developments such as major scandals, turnout shifts in key voting blocs, or national political realignments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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