Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 7th congressional district and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Republican Patrick McAuley. The urban Indianapolis-centered seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 65 percent in recent cycles, including Carson's 2024 reelection. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting these structural factors and the incumbent's established position. Trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this baseline partisan advantage. Late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawal, health events, or an unprecedented national swing could still shift the outcome before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIN-07 House Election Winner
IN-07 House Election Winner
$45,726 Wol.
$45,726 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$45,726 Wol.
$45,726 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,947 Wol.
97%
Republican Party
$37,779 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 7th congressional district and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Republican Patrick McAuley. The urban Indianapolis-centered seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 65 percent in recent cycles, including Carson's 2024 reelection. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting these structural factors and the incumbent's established position. Trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this baseline partisan advantage. Late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawal, health events, or an unprecedented national swing could still shift the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$45,726Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 7th congressional district and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Republican Patrick McAuley. The urban Indianapolis-centered seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 65 percent in recent cycles, including Carson's 2024 reelection. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting these structural factors and the incumbent's established position. Trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this baseline partisan advantage. Late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawal, health events, or an unprecedented national swing could still shift the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$45,726Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat André Carson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 7th congressional district and enters the November general election as the clear frontrunner against Republican Patrick McAuley. The urban Indianapolis-centered seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+21 and has produced consistent Democratic margins exceeding 65 percent in recent cycles, including Carson's 2024 reelection. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting these structural factors and the incumbent's established position. Trader consensus near 97 percent for the Democratic nominee aligns with this baseline partisan advantage. Late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawal, health events, or an unprecedented national swing could still shift the outcome before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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