**Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz secured the nomination in the August 18 primary with 63.5% against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, positioning him to face Republican nominee Scott Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor who topped a crowded GOP field.** The newly drawn district, which stretches along South Florida’s coast through parts of Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, leans Republican based on 2024 presidential results where Donald Trump carried the lines by roughly nine points. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as a toss-up or competitive, reflecting the tension between redistricting effects and Moskowitz’s incumbency advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and moderate appeal. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a 67% implied probability, consistent with assessments that the incumbent’s profile and local organization outweigh the district’s partisan tilt in the short term before full general-election polling and campaign spending patterns emerge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-25 House Election Winner
FL-25 House Election Winner
$26,710 Wol.
$26,710 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
67%
Republican Party
32%
$26,710 Wol.
$26,710 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,102 Wol.
67%
Republican Party
$17,608 Wol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz secured the nomination in the August 18 primary with 63.5% against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, positioning him to face Republican nominee Scott Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor who topped a crowded GOP field.** The newly drawn district, which stretches along South Florida’s coast through parts of Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, leans Republican based on 2024 presidential results where Donald Trump carried the lines by roughly nine points. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as a toss-up or competitive, reflecting the tension between redistricting effects and Moskowitz’s incumbency advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and moderate appeal. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a 67% implied probability, consistent with assessments that the incumbent’s profile and local organization outweigh the district’s partisan tilt in the short term before full general-election polling and campaign spending patterns emerge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$26,710Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz secured the nomination in the August 18 primary with 63.5% against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, positioning him to face Republican nominee Scott Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor who topped a crowded GOP field.** The newly drawn district, which stretches along South Florida’s coast through parts of Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, leans Republican based on 2024 presidential results where Donald Trump carried the lines by roughly nine points. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as a toss-up or competitive, reflecting the tension between redistricting effects and Moskowitz’s incumbency advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and moderate appeal. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a 67% implied probability, consistent with assessments that the incumbent’s profile and local organization outweigh the district’s partisan tilt in the short term before full general-election polling and campaign spending patterns emerge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$26,710Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Jared Moskowitz secured the nomination in the August 18 primary with 63.5% against progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, positioning him to face Republican nominee Scott Singer, the former Boca Raton mayor who topped a crowded GOP field.** The newly drawn district, which stretches along South Florida’s coast through parts of Palm Beach, Broward, and Miami-Dade counties, leans Republican based on 2024 presidential results where Donald Trump carried the lines by roughly nine points. Forecasters rate the November 3 general election as a toss-up or competitive, reflecting the tension between redistricting effects and Moskowitz’s incumbency advantages in name recognition, fundraising, and moderate appeal. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a 67% implied probability, consistent with assessments that the incumbent’s profile and local organization outweigh the district’s partisan tilt in the short term before full general-election polling and campaign spending patterns emerge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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