Recent redistricting placed Democratic incumbent Jared Moskowitz in Florida's 25th district, a newly configured seat rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. A May 2026 poll showed generic Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double digits, with Moskowitz posting similar margins in head-to-head matchups. Midterm cycles historically favor the opposition party, contributing to trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The Democratic primary remains fluid ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republican options include Michael Carbonara and Claudia Villatoro. These factors—incumbency advantage, polling trends, and structural midterm headwinds—anchor the market's assessment of the November general election outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-25 House Election Winner
FL-25 House Election Winner
$18,160 Wol.
$18,160 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
63%
Republican Party
35%
$18,160 Wol.
$18,160 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,541 Wol.
63%
Republican Party
$13,619 Wol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting placed Democratic incumbent Jared Moskowitz in Florida's 25th district, a newly configured seat rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. A May 2026 poll showed generic Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double digits, with Moskowitz posting similar margins in head-to-head matchups. Midterm cycles historically favor the opposition party, contributing to trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The Democratic primary remains fluid ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republican options include Michael Carbonara and Claudia Villatoro. These factors—incumbency advantage, polling trends, and structural midterm headwinds—anchor the market's assessment of the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,160Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent redistricting placed Democratic incumbent Jared Moskowitz in Florida's 25th district, a newly configured seat rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. A May 2026 poll showed generic Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double digits, with Moskowitz posting similar margins in head-to-head matchups. Midterm cycles historically favor the opposition party, contributing to trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The Democratic primary remains fluid ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republican options include Michael Carbonara and Claudia Villatoro. These factors—incumbency advantage, polling trends, and structural midterm headwinds—anchor the market's assessment of the November general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-25 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$18,160Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting placed Democratic incumbent Jared Moskowitz in Florida's 25th district, a newly configured seat rated toss-up by multiple forecasters. A May 2026 poll showed generic Democratic candidates leading Republicans by double digits, with Moskowitz posting similar margins in head-to-head matchups. Midterm cycles historically favor the opposition party, contributing to trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The Democratic primary remains fluid ahead of the August 18 contest, while Republican options include Michael Carbonara and Claudia Villatoro. These factors—incumbency advantage, polling trends, and structural midterm headwinds—anchor the market's assessment of the November general election outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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