Mary Gay Scanlon, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, a suburban Philadelphia area encompassing Delaware County and portions of Montgomery County that favors her party in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan lean, Scanlon's established record since 2019, and substantial fundraising edge. The Republican nominee, Nick Manganaro, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed. With the November 3, 2026 general election still months away, trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals. A national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited pathways for such shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPA-05 House Election Winner
PA-05 House Election Winner
$31,721 Wol.
$31,721 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$31,721 Wol.
$31,721 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,583 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$22,138 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, a suburban Philadelphia area encompassing Delaware County and portions of Montgomery County that favors her party in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan lean, Scanlon's established record since 2019, and substantial fundraising edge. The Republican nominee, Nick Manganaro, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed. With the November 3, 2026 general election still months away, trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals. A national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited pathways for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$31,721Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mary Gay Scanlon, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, a suburban Philadelphia area encompassing Delaware County and portions of Montgomery County that favors her party in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan lean, Scanlon's established record since 2019, and substantial fundraising edge. The Republican nominee, Nick Manganaro, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed. With the November 3, 2026 general election still months away, trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals. A national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited pathways for such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$31,721Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Gay Scanlon, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, a suburban Philadelphia area encompassing Delaware County and portions of Montgomery County that favors her party in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan lean, Scanlon's established record since 2019, and substantial fundraising edge. The Republican nominee, Nick Manganaro, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed. With the November 3, 2026 general election still months away, trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals. A national Republican surge, unexpected scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns and current indicators suggest limited pathways for such shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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