Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford secured the nomination without opposition after the June 9 primary was canceled, while Republican Cody Whipple emerged from a three-candidate primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration edge for Democrats and Horsford’s prior narrow reelection in 2024. Fundraising data shows the incumbent holding a substantial advantage, and no major developments since the primaries have altered the competitive landscape. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89.5% implied probability, consistent with these structural factors in a district spanning northern Las Vegas suburbs and rural areas.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNV-04 House Election Winner
NV-04 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
11%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,417 Wol.
90%
Republican Party
$3,170 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford secured the nomination without opposition after the June 9 primary was canceled, while Republican Cody Whipple emerged from a three-candidate primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration edge for Democrats and Horsford’s prior narrow reelection in 2024. Fundraising data shows the incumbent holding a substantial advantage, and no major developments since the primaries have altered the competitive landscape. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89.5% implied probability, consistent with these structural factors in a district spanning northern Las Vegas suburbs and rural areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,587Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford secured the nomination without opposition after the June 9 primary was canceled, while Republican Cody Whipple emerged from a three-candidate primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration edge for Democrats and Horsford’s prior narrow reelection in 2024. Fundraising data shows the incumbent holding a substantial advantage, and no major developments since the primaries have altered the competitive landscape. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89.5% implied probability, consistent with these structural factors in a district spanning northern Las Vegas suburbs and rural areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$5,587Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Steven Horsford secured the nomination without opposition after the June 9 primary was canceled, while Republican Cody Whipple emerged from a three-candidate primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Multiple nonpartisan ratings organizations classify the race as likely Democratic, reflecting the district’s voter registration edge for Democrats and Horsford’s prior narrow reelection in 2024. Fundraising data shows the incumbent holding a substantial advantage, and no major developments since the primaries have altered the competitive landscape. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89.5% implied probability, consistent with these structural factors in a district spanning northern Las Vegas suburbs and rural areas.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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