Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open Houston suburban seat with R+10 Cook PVI, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 81.5% to retain it in the November 3 general election, driven by strong historical performance—Wesley Hunt's 63%-37% win in 2024—and consistent Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report through April 14. Melissa McDonough clinched the Democratic primary on March 3, but her prior district loss underscores the partisan tilt favoring the GOP runoff victor on May 26 between Trump-endorsed Jon Bonck and Shelly deZevallos, who boast superior fundraising. No general election polls have emerged post-primaries to alter this positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$11,931 Wol.
$11,931 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
18%
$11,931 Wol.
$11,931 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,570 Wol.
82%
Democratic Party
$3,360 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open Houston suburban seat with R+10 Cook PVI, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 81.5% to retain it in the November 3 general election, driven by strong historical performance—Wesley Hunt's 63%-37% win in 2024—and consistent Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report through April 14. Melissa McDonough clinched the Democratic primary on March 3, but her prior district loss underscores the partisan tilt favoring the GOP runoff victor on May 26 between Trump-endorsed Jon Bonck and Shelly deZevallos, who boast superior fundraising. No general election polls have emerged post-primaries to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,931Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open Houston suburban seat with R+10 Cook PVI, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 81.5% to retain it in the November 3 general election, driven by strong historical performance—Wesley Hunt's 63%-37% win in 2024—and consistent Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report through April 14. Melissa McDonough clinched the Democratic primary on March 3, but her prior district loss underscores the partisan tilt favoring the GOP runoff victor on May 26 between Trump-endorsed Jon Bonck and Shelly deZevallos, who boast superior fundraising. No general election polls have emerged post-primaries to alter this positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$11,931Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open Houston suburban seat with R+10 Cook PVI, sees trader consensus pricing Republicans at 81.5% to retain it in the November 3 general election, driven by strong historical performance—Wesley Hunt's 63%-37% win in 2024—and consistent Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report through April 14. Melissa McDonough clinched the Democratic primary on March 3, but her prior district loss underscores the partisan tilt favoring the GOP runoff victor on May 26 between Trump-endorsed Jon Bonck and Shelly deZevallos, who boast superior fundraising. No general election polls have emerged post-primaries to alter this positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania