Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violin virtuoso Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 36.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, driven by its dominant performance in fan polls like ESCXTRA's My Eurovision Scoreboard (April 13 update), where it topped with over 300,000 points thanks to catchy dance-pop hooks, live instrumentation appeal, and UMK landslide win in late February. Trader consensus reflects strong stage potential showcased at pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert. France's youthful Monroe ("Regarde!") at 11.4% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 10.5% trail amid solid community rankings, but jury-televote splits and Vienna rehearsals (starting soon) could shift dynamics before May 12-16 semis.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoZwycięzca Eurowizji 2026
Zwycięzca Eurowizji 2026
Finlandia 36.5%
Francja 11.4%
Dania 10.5%
Australia 7.2%
$95,318,893 Wol.
$95,318,893 Wol.

Finlandia
37%

Francja
11%

Dania
11%

Australia
7%

Grecja
6%

Izrael
6%

Szwecja
3%

Włochy
3%

Rumunia
3%

Ukraina
2%

Czechy
1%

Cypr
1%

Malta
1%

Bułgaria
1%

Mołdawia
1%

Chorwacja
1%

Luksemburg
1%

Norwegia
1%

Niemcy
<1%

Litwa
<1%

Wielka Brytania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgia
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbejdżan
<1%

Polska
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Szwajcaria
<1%

Albania
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Łotwa
<1%

Portugalia
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Gruzja
<1%

Czarnogóra
<1%
Finlandia 36.5%
Francja 11.4%
Dania 10.5%
Australia 7.2%
$95,318,893 Wol.
$95,318,893 Wol.

Finlandia
37%

Francja
11%

Dania
11%

Australia
7%

Grecja
6%

Izrael
6%

Szwecja
3%

Włochy
3%

Rumunia
3%

Ukraina
2%

Czechy
1%

Cypr
1%

Malta
1%

Bułgaria
1%

Mołdawia
1%

Chorwacja
1%

Luksemburg
1%

Norwegia
1%

Niemcy
<1%

Litwa
<1%

Wielka Brytania
<1%

Austria
<1%

Belgia
<1%

Armenia
<1%

Azerbejdżan
<1%

Polska
<1%

Serbia
<1%

Szwajcaria
<1%

Albania
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Łotwa
<1%

Portugalia
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Gruzja
<1%

Czarnogóra
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violin virtuoso Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen commands a 36.5% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, driven by its dominant performance in fan polls like ESCXTRA's My Eurovision Scoreboard (April 13 update), where it topped with over 300,000 points thanks to catchy dance-pop hooks, live instrumentation appeal, and UMK landslide win in late February. Trader consensus reflects strong stage potential showcased at pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert. France's youthful Monroe ("Regarde!") at 11.4% and Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund ("Før vi går hjem") at 10.5% trail amid solid community rankings, but jury-televote splits and Vienna rehearsals (starting soon) could shift dynamics before May 12-16 semis.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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