Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd District Democratic primary on August 18, buoyed by strong fundraising, name recognition, and moderate Democratic establishment support in the Broward-Palm Beach stronghold. Challenger Oliver Adams Larkin, a union organizer and Democratic Socialist, trails at 38% but has gained traction from the Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement for 2026, Progressive Democrats of America's backing, and a March Center for Strategic Politics poll of likely primary voters showing him ahead after balanced candidate biographies. With four months until the closed primary, turnout among progressive voters and further canvassing could shift the closely contested race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$13,999 Wol.
$13,999 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
58%
Oliver Adams Larkin
42%
$13,999 Wol.
$13,999 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
Jared Moskowitz
$4,980 Wol.
58%
Oliver Adams Larkin
$9,019 Wol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd District Democratic primary on August 18, buoyed by strong fundraising, name recognition, and moderate Democratic establishment support in the Broward-Palm Beach stronghold. Challenger Oliver Adams Larkin, a union organizer and Democratic Socialist, trails at 38% but has gained traction from the Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement for 2026, Progressive Democrats of America's backing, and a March Center for Strategic Politics poll of likely primary voters showing him ahead after balanced candidate biographies. With four months until the closed primary, turnout among progressive voters and further canvassing could shift the closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,999Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd District Democratic primary on August 18, buoyed by strong fundraising, name recognition, and moderate Democratic establishment support in the Broward-Palm Beach stronghold. Challenger Oliver Adams Larkin, a union organizer and Democratic Socialist, trails at 38% but has gained traction from the Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement for 2026, Progressive Democrats of America's backing, and a March Center for Strategic Politics poll of likely primary voters showing him ahead after balanced candidate biographies. With four months until the closed primary, turnout among progressive voters and further canvassing could shift the closely contested race.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$13,999Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz holds a trader consensus edge at 58% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd District Democratic primary on August 18, buoyed by strong fundraising, name recognition, and moderate Democratic establishment support in the Broward-Palm Beach stronghold. Challenger Oliver Adams Larkin, a union organizer and Democratic Socialist, trails at 38% but has gained traction from the Democratic Socialists of America's first federal endorsement for 2026, Progressive Democrats of America's backing, and a March Center for Strategic Politics poll of likely primary voters showing him ahead after balanced candidate biographies. With four months until the closed primary, turnout among progressive voters and further canvassing could shift the closely contested race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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