Trader consensus assigns an 82.5% implied probability to a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 for Week 30, 2026, driven by the well-established seasonal trough in influenza activity during midsummer. CDC and WHO surveillance consistently document minimal community transmission outside the typical October–March window in the Northern Hemisphere, with rates often near zero in July–August due to warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding that limit viral spread. Historical baselines from prior seasons show hospitalization metrics rarely exceed 0.05–0.1 during this period absent unusual summer outbreaks. Recent monitoring updates through early August confirm no elevated signals or variant-driven anomalies that would alter the low baseline, though weekly FluView reports remain the key upcoming data releases that could refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 30, 2026?
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 30, 2026?
<0.1 83%
>0.1 9.8%
0.1 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
<0.1
83%
0.1
10%
>0.1
10%
<0.1 83%
>0.1 9.8%
0.1 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
<0.1
$181 Wol.
83%
0.1
$367 Wol.
10%
>0.1
$140 Wol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Trader consensus assigns an 82.5% implied probability to a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 for Week 30, 2026, driven by the well-established seasonal trough in influenza activity during midsummer. CDC and WHO surveillance consistently document minimal community transmission outside the typical October–March window in the Northern Hemisphere, with rates often near zero in July–August due to warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding that limit viral spread. Historical baselines from prior seasons show hospitalization metrics rarely exceed 0.05–0.1 during this period absent unusual summer outbreaks. Recent monitoring updates through early August confirm no elevated signals or variant-driven anomalies that would alter the low baseline, though weekly FluView reports remain the key upcoming data releases that could refine these odds.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Wolumen
$688Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Trader consensus assigns an 82.5% implied probability to a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 for Week 30, 2026, driven by the well-established seasonal trough in influenza activity during midsummer. CDC and WHO surveillance consistently document minimal community transmission outside the typical October–March window in the Northern Hemisphere, with rates often near zero in July–August due to warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding that limit viral spread. Historical baselines from prior seasons show hospitalization metrics rarely exceed 0.05–0.1 during this period absent unusual summer outbreaks. Recent monitoring updates through early August confirm no elevated signals or variant-driven anomalies that would alter the low baseline, though weekly FluView reports remain the key upcoming data releases that could refine these odds.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Wolumen
$688Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns an 82.5% implied probability to a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 for Week 30, 2026, driven by the well-established seasonal trough in influenza activity during midsummer. CDC and WHO surveillance consistently document minimal community transmission outside the typical October–March window in the Northern Hemisphere, with rates often near zero in July–August due to warmer temperatures, higher humidity, and reduced indoor crowding that limit viral spread. Historical baselines from prior seasons show hospitalization metrics rarely exceed 0.05–0.1 during this period absent unusual summer outbreaks. Recent monitoring updates through early August confirm no elevated signals or variant-driven anomalies that would alter the low baseline, though weekly FluView reports remain the key upcoming data releases that could refine these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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