Trader consensus in the Guam Democratic primary for governor gives Therese Terlaje a clear lead at 70%, consistent with her incumbency advantages, legislative record, and established party networks. Josh Tenorio follows at 29.5%, drawing measurable support from his executive background and voter base in certain districts, while Joe S. San Agustin remains a distant third at 0.3%. Primary election procedures, including candidate filings, debate scheduling, and turnout patterns among registered Democrats, continue to shape positioning. No major developments in the past 30 days have significantly altered these implied probabilities.