Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam on April 27, backed by official KNMI observations at the reference station, Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, which recorded a daily maximum of 14°C amid partly cloudy skies and persistent cool north-northeasterly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with late-April climatology, where historical highs average 13–15°C, and intraday readings around midday hovered at 11–12°C before a modest peak. While station data provides high-confidence verification, realistic challenges could arise from rare instrument recalibrations, auxiliary city-center measurements exceeding Schiphol's record, or post-audit data revisions—though such events are exceedingly uncommon for finalized KNMI reports.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 27?
14°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$53,349 Wol.
$53,349 Wol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$53,349 Wol.
$53,349 Wol.
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 25, 2026, 12:52 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam on April 27, backed by official KNMI observations at the reference station, Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, which recorded a daily maximum of 14°C amid partly cloudy skies and persistent cool north-northeasterly winds suppressing daytime heating. This aligns with late-April climatology, where historical highs average 13–15°C, and intraday readings around midday hovered at 11–12°C before a modest peak. While station data provides high-confidence verification, realistic challenges could arise from rare instrument recalibrations, auxiliary city-center measurements exceeding Schiphol's record, or post-audit data revisions—though such events are exceedingly uncommon for finalized KNMI reports.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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