Latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest cool anomaly for Amsterdam on July 19, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 18–19 °C under increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow off the cooler North Sea. This places the outcome modestly below the mid-July climatological average of 21–22 °C. Key variables driving the tight spread between 18 °C and 19 °C include uncertainty in afternoon convective cloud development and the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary, each of which can alter peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread overall, but traders are weighting the lower bins more heavily given persistent marine influence and modest forecast confidence this close to the event. Updated KNMI and high-resolution runs on July 18–19 will likely refine the final distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on July 19?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 19?
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,384 Wol.
$48,384 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$48,384 Wol.
$48,384 Wol.
Jul 19, 2026
15°C or below
$1,982 Wol.
No
16°C
$1,589 Wol.
No
17°C
$3,575 Wol.
No
18°C
$14,609 Wol.
No
19°C
$7,808 Wol.
No
20°C
$10,656 Wol.
Yes
21°C
$4,907 Wol.
No
22°C
$1,698 Wol.
No
23°C
$1,140 Wol.
No
24°C
$210 Wol.
No
25°C or higher
$210 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest cool anomaly for Amsterdam on July 19, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 18–19 °C under increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow off the cooler North Sea. This places the outcome modestly below the mid-July climatological average of 21–22 °C. Key variables driving the tight spread between 18 °C and 19 °C include uncertainty in afternoon convective cloud development and the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary, each of which can alter peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread overall, but traders are weighting the lower bins more heavily given persistent marine influence and modest forecast confidence this close to the event. Updated KNMI and high-resolution runs on July 18–19 will likely refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$48,384Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest cool anomaly for Amsterdam on July 19, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 18–19 °C under increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow off the cooler North Sea. This places the outcome modestly below the mid-July climatological average of 21–22 °C. Key variables driving the tight spread between 18 °C and 19 °C include uncertainty in afternoon convective cloud development and the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary, each of which can alter peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread overall, but traders are weighting the lower bins more heavily given persistent marine influence and modest forecast confidence this close to the event. Updated KNMI and high-resolution runs on July 18–19 will likely refine the final distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$48,384Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 17, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Latest short-range ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS indicates a modest cool anomaly for Amsterdam on July 19, with maximum temperatures most likely peaking near 18–19 °C under increased cloud cover and northeasterly flow off the cooler North Sea. This places the outcome modestly below the mid-July climatological average of 21–22 °C. Key variables driving the tight spread between 18 °C and 19 °C include uncertainty in afternoon convective cloud development and the precise timing of any weak frontal boundary, each of which can alter peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing by 1–2 °C. Recent model runs show limited spread overall, but traders are weighting the lower bins more heavily given persistent marine influence and modest forecast confidence this close to the event. Updated KNMI and high-resolution runs on July 18–19 will likely refine the final distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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