Beijing's late-July temperatures hinge on the subtropical high's position and monsoon moisture influx, which drive afternoon heating while frequent showers and thunderstorms introduce cooling variability. Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster daily maxima near 31–33 °C for July 25, reflecting typical climatological values of ~31 °C offset by recent El Niño-enhanced warmth across eastern China and localized urban heat-island amplification. Close market-implied odds among the three leading outcomes underscore model spread arising from differences in simulated cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with any earlier or heavier rainfall likely capping the peak below 32 °C. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration runs and high-resolution updates for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on July 25?
Highest temperature in Beijing on July 25?
32°C 30%
33°C 28%
31°C 26%
34°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 25, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
10%
30°C
13%
31°C
26%
32°C
30%
33°C
28%
34°C
14%
35°C
6%
36°C or higher
2%
32°C 30%
33°C 28%
31°C 26%
34°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 25, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$55 Wol.
1%
29°C
$16 Wol.
10%
30°C
$0 Wol.
13%
31°C
$0 Wol.
26%
32°C
$0 Wol.
30%
33°C
$0 Wol.
28%
34°C
$0 Wol.
14%
35°C
$26 Wol.
6%
36°C or higher
$32 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's late-July temperatures hinge on the subtropical high's position and monsoon moisture influx, which drive afternoon heating while frequent showers and thunderstorms introduce cooling variability. Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster daily maxima near 31–33 °C for July 25, reflecting typical climatological values of ~31 °C offset by recent El Niño-enhanced warmth across eastern China and localized urban heat-island amplification. Close market-implied odds among the three leading outcomes underscore model spread arising from differences in simulated cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with any earlier or heavier rainfall likely capping the peak below 32 °C. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration runs and high-resolution updates for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$149Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's late-July temperatures hinge on the subtropical high's position and monsoon moisture influx, which drive afternoon heating while frequent showers and thunderstorms introduce cooling variability. Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster daily maxima near 31–33 °C for July 25, reflecting typical climatological values of ~31 °C offset by recent El Niño-enhanced warmth across eastern China and localized urban heat-island amplification. Close market-implied odds among the three leading outcomes underscore model spread arising from differences in simulated cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with any earlier or heavier rainfall likely capping the peak below 32 °C. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration runs and high-resolution updates for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$149Data zakończenia
Jul 25, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 23, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Beijing's late-July temperatures hinge on the subtropical high's position and monsoon moisture influx, which drive afternoon heating while frequent showers and thunderstorms introduce cooling variability. Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models cluster daily maxima near 31–33 °C for July 25, reflecting typical climatological values of ~31 °C offset by recent El Niño-enhanced warmth across eastern China and localized urban heat-island amplification. Close market-implied odds among the three leading outcomes underscore model spread arising from differences in simulated cloud cover, precipitation timing, and boundary-layer mixing, with any earlier or heavier rainfall likely capping the peak below 32 °C. Traders are watching the next China Meteorological Administration runs and high-resolution updates for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania