Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting confirmed peak readings of 24°C at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, the market's official resolution source per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Cloudy skies, northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and a recent cool air mass have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with updated CMA hourly observations that peaked mid-afternoon before a sharp evening drop to the mid-teens. This positioning matches ensemble forecast models from CMA and global systems, showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision uncovering a higher outlier reading from station sensors—unlikely given synchronized reports—or microclimatic urban heat effects exceeding models, though current trends confirm stability as the resolution window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 2?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$102,156 Wol.
$102,156 Wol.
May 2, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$102,156 Wol.
$102,156 Wol.
May 2, 2026
21°C or below
$10,707 Wol.
No
22°C
$17,184 Wol.
No
23°C
$8,008 Wol.
No
24°C
$14,984 Wol.
Yes
25°C
$13,619 Wol.
No
26°C
$10,659 Wol.
No
27°C
$8,790 Wol.
No
28°C
$7,295 Wol.
No
29°C
$3,593 Wol.
No
30°C
$4,877 Wol.
No
31°C or higher
$2,440 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting confirmed peak readings of 24°C at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, the market's official resolution source per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Cloudy skies, northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and a recent cool air mass have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with updated CMA hourly observations that peaked mid-afternoon before a sharp evening drop to the mid-teens. This positioning matches ensemble forecast models from CMA and global systems, showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision uncovering a higher outlier reading from station sensors—unlikely given synchronized reports—or microclimatic urban heat effects exceeding models, though current trends confirm stability as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Wolumen
$102,156Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting confirmed peak readings of 24°C at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, the market's official resolution source per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Cloudy skies, northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and a recent cool air mass have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with updated CMA hourly observations that peaked mid-afternoon before a sharp evening drop to the mid-teens. This positioning matches ensemble forecast models from CMA and global systems, showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision uncovering a higher outlier reading from station sensors—unlikely given synchronized reports—or microclimatic urban heat effects exceeding models, though current trends confirm stability as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$102,156Data zakończenia
May 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 24°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 2, reflecting confirmed peak readings of 24°C at the Beijing Capital International Airport station, the market's official resolution source per China Meteorological Administration (CMA) data. Cloudy skies, northerly winds around 10-15 km/h, and a recent cool air mass have suppressed daytime heating, aligning with updated CMA hourly observations that peaked mid-afternoon before a sharp evening drop to the mid-teens. This positioning matches ensemble forecast models from CMA and global systems, showing minimal intensification potential. Realistic challenges would require a late data revision uncovering a higher outlier reading from station sensors—unlikely given synchronized reports—or microclimatic urban heat effects exceeding models, though current trends confirm stability as the resolution window closes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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