Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 3?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 3?
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,810 Wol.
$155,810 Wol.
May 3, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,810 Wol.
$155,810 Wol.
May 3, 2026
17°C or below
$3,964 Wol.
No
18°C
$5,883 Wol.
No
19°C
$23,349 Wol.
No
20°C
$25,078 Wol.
No
21°C
$27,942 Wol.
No
22°C
$22,234 Wol.
Yes
23°C
$18,026 Wol.
No
24°C
$8,090 Wol.
No
25°C
$8,197 Wol.
No
26°C
$5,830 Wol.
No
27°C or higher
$7,216 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Wolumen
$155,810Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$155,810Data zakończenia
May 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 12:12 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs 22°C as Beijing's highest temperature on May 3, 2026, reflecting strong alignment between official China Meteorological Administration forecasts, World Meteorological Centre Beijing advisories, and global models like those from ECMWF and GFS, which project a daily maximum of 21–22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly breezes at 10–20 km/h. Current observations from Beijing Capital International Airport and urban stations show midday peaks near 22°C, with temperatures now declining into the evening, capping upside potential. This follows yesterday's 24°C high amid a broader spring cooling pattern atypical of May's 26–27°C climatological average. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing allowing brief solar heating to 23°C, though low-level moisture and shear make this improbable; final resolution hinges on end-of-day readings from the official Beijing observatory.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania